Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing Co (603011) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥1.98 to ¥24.00 (+1,112.4%) since Aug 10, 2026. Share price +8.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The models converge in a tight band (¥23.39 to ¥24.49), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.51 – ¥39.55 · fair‑value band ¥23.39 – ¥24.49 · the ¥24.56 price screens above the ¥24.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing Co (603011) currently trades at ¥24.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.00, implying the stock looks roughly 2.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing Co generated revenue of 2.1B CNY at a net margin of -13.5%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 179M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥23.39 (bear case) to ¥24.49 (bull case); at ¥24.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -2%, 603011 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.43) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.5300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing Co., Ltd. research, develops, produces, sells, and services hydraulic and mechanical presses in China and internationally. The company offers color sorters, mobile crushing and screening equipment, intelligent integrated control, and new materials.
Full company description
Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing Co., Ltd. research, develops, produces, sells, and services hydraulic and mechanical presses in China and internationally. The company offers color sorters, mobile crushing and screening equipment, intelligent integrated control, and new materials. Its products are mainly used in automobiles, home appliances, military industry, aerospace, petrochemical, new material applications, and other fields. The company was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥249M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €281.75 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.75 | -28% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 210.00 | kr 112.59 | -46% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥39.17 | ¥22.68 | -42% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥24.06 | ¥18.71 | -22% |
| ABB India Limited ABB | ₹7,700 | ₹1,322 | -83% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹420.00 | ₹96.51 | -77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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