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Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co (603070) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.6B CNY

WI Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co 603070 · SHG
Price¥11.51
Fair Value¥3.78
Upside-67.2%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.69% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.83 – ¥4.72 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price +1.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥37.37 ¥9.82 Fair Value ¥3.78 Mar 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range ¥9.82 – ¥37.37 · fair‑value band ¥2.83 – ¥4.72 · the ¥11.51 price screens above the ¥3.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co (603070) currently trades at ¥11.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.78, implying the stock looks roughly 67.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co generated revenue of 1.8B CNY at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue declined 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. Net debt stands at 130M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.83 (bear case) to ¥4.72 (bull case); at ¥11.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -67%, 603070 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥8.50 ¥10.94 ¥14.97 80
Residual Income ¥4.01 ¥3.96 ¥3.52 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.24 ¥6.46 ¥8.03 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.21 ¥10.74 ¥15.27 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.04 ¥5.04 ¥6.84 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.24 ¥6.29 ¥7.81 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.27 ¥8.08 ¥10.47 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.86 ¥7.37 ¥9.18 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.34 ¥7.22 ¥8.09 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.01 ¥8.30 ¥9.62 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥6.77 ¥7.87 ¥8.88 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.51 ¥1.85 ¥2.08 54
EPV ¥3.00 ¥3.26 ¥3.49 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7000 ¥0.7700 ¥0.8600 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7000 ¥0.8700 ¥1.09 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.50 ¥4.67 ¥5.84 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.83 ¥3.78 ¥4.72 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.83 ¥3.78 ¥4.72 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.31 ¥5.31 ¥6.31 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.61 ¥7.04 ¥8.47 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.45 ¥4.37 ¥5.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.72 ¥3.65 ¥5.44 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.50 ¥10.94 ¥14.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.24 ¥6.46 ¥8.03 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.01 ¥3.96 ¥3.52 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.00 ¥3.26 ¥3.49 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.47 ¥3.53 ¥4.59 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.37) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.7700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.4%
Net margin 3.3%
Return on equity 2.7%
Free cash flow 299M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 97.2
More key figures
Operating margin -5.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1500
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -8.4%
Net debt 130M CNY FY2021

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of power distribution switch control equipment in China.

Full company description

Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of power distribution switch control equipment in China. The company provides high and low voltage electrical cabinets, ring network cabinet equipment, IE/IT cabinets, gas insulated switchgear, high voltage vacuum circuit breakers, and other products, as well as after-sales services. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Yueqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co reported revenue of ¥1.9B in FY2025 versus ¥2.2B in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥89.2M in FY2025, compounding −17.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+2.8%
Revenue −3.3%/yr
FY21 ¥2.2B
FY22 ¥2.2B
FY23 ¥2.3B
FY24 ¥2.0B
FY25 ¥1.9B
Net income −17.2%/yr
FY21 ¥190M
FY22 ¥205M
FY23 ¥175M
FY24 ¥96.0M
FY25 ¥89.2M

603070 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603070

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 76.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.12× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.52× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 31.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 11 · sector 26
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co (603070) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.78 versus a price of ¥11.51, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603070?
Our model-based fair value for Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co is ¥3.78 (as of Aug 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.51.
What is the quality score of 603070?
Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co (603070)?
Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603070?
The net profit margin of Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co is about 3.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co pay a dividend?
Wecome Intelligent Manufacturing Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.56% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 10, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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