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Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co (603130) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 6.2B CNY

ZY Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co 603130 · SHG
Price¥40.30
Fair Value¥12.93
Upside-67.9%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.53% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.70 – ¥16.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥15.21 to ¥12.93 (−15.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥63.78 ¥14.73 Fair Value ¥12.93 Nov 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

45‑month range ¥14.73 – ¥63.78 · fair‑value band ¥9.70 – ¥16.19 · the ¥40.30 price screens above the ¥12.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co (603130) currently trades at ¥40.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.93, implying the stock looks roughly 67.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co generated revenue of 2.7B CNY at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue declined 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at 148M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.70 (bear case) to ¥16.19 (bull case); at ¥40.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -68%, 603130 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥14.02 ¥18.98 ¥25.81 80
Residual Income ¥8.32 ¥8.75 ¥9.38 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥11.32 ¥15.59 ¥20.54 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥13.88 ¥19.53 ¥27.83 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥11.32 ¥15.51 ¥20.77 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥15.15 ¥22.68 ¥31.45 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥13.55 ¥19.69 ¥26.11 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥11.97 ¥15.97 ¥21.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.56 ¥20.84 ¥29.20 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥13.57 ¥18.81 ¥25.20 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.17 ¥16.31 ¥21.73 54
Lynch FV ¥3.58 ¥5.11 ¥6.64 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.58 ¥5.11 ¥6.64 46
EPV ¥8.74 ¥9.61 ¥10.36 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.78 ¥3.55 ¥5.38 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.78 ¥2.92 ¥3.75 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.41 ¥15.21 ¥19.01 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.70 ¥12.93 ¥16.16 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.70 ¥12.93 ¥16.16 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.59 ¥17.04 ¥20.49 53
EV/EBITDA ¥17.43 ¥22.17 ¥26.91 54
EV/Revenue ¥10.21 ¥13.20 ¥16.20 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.16 ¥6.92 ¥10.33 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥14.02 ¥18.98 ¥25.81 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥11.32 ¥15.59 ¥20.54 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.32 ¥8.75 ¥9.38 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.74 ¥9.61 ¥10.39 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.53 ¥13.61 ¥17.69 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥19.53) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.5%
Net margin 4.1%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow 135M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 57.9
More key figures
Operating margin 3.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7800
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +25.0%
Net debt 148M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of leather base cloth and related raw materials in China. The company offers warp knitting and weft knitting fabrics under the Yunzhongma brand name.

Full company description

Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of leather base cloth and related raw materials in China. The company offers warp knitting and weft knitting fabrics under the Yunzhongma brand name. It also provides artificial leather and synthetic leather base materials used in consumer goods, such as shoes, bags, furniture, and decorative materials. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Lishui, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co reported revenue of ¥2.7B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2022, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥105M in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.3%
Revenue +12.3%/yr
FY22 ¥1.9B
FY23 ¥2.3B
FY24 ¥2.6B
FY25 ¥2.7B
Net income +1.2%/yr
FY22 ¥101M
FY23 ¥119M
FY24 ¥100M
FY25 ¥105M

603130 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603130

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 57.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 11
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 31 · sector 14
HEALTH 94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co (603130) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.93 versus a price of ¥40.30, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603130?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co is ¥12.93 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥40.30.
What is the quality score of 603130?
Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co (603130)?
Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603130?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.53% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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