Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical Co (603829) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥8.56 to ¥15.41 (+80.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥11.56 (bear) to ¥19.26 (bull), base ¥15.41. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 42/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.38 – ¥33.16 · fair‑value band ¥11.56 – ¥19.26 · the ¥14.79 price screens below the ¥15.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical Co (603829) currently trades at ¥14.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.41, implying the stock looks roughly 4.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical Co generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue declined 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at 146M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥11.56 (bear case) to ¥19.26 (bull case); at ¥14.79, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 4%, 603829 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.13) versus Asset-Based (¥5.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, sells, and services various high and low voltage electrical distribution apparatus in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Full company description
Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, sells, and services various high and low voltage electrical distribution apparatus in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers component products comprising low-voltage circuit breakers, vacuum circuit breakers, AC contractors, RMUs, C-GISs, accessories, and other power distribution products and components; standardized low-voltage assembles, miniaturized low-voltage intelligent switchgears, armored movable AC metal-enclosed switchgears, environment-friendly gas-insulated ring main units, solid-insulated ring main units, environment-friendly gas-insulated metal-enclosed switchgears, wind power grid-connected switchgears, and gas-insulated switchgears; intelligent RMU system solutions; and liquid-cooled energy storage containers, integrated energy storage machines, and photovoltaic grid-connected cabinets. It also engages in technical activities. The company serves the transportation, data center, commercial complex, and new energy industries. Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Changzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical Co reported revenue of ¥2.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥79.7M in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.16 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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