Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group (603882) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CN · Market cap 11.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥23.73 to ¥12.78 (−46.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +26.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥22.16 – ¥159.45 · fair‑value band ¥10.55 – ¥15.00 · the ¥28.97 price screens above the ¥12.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group (603882) currently trades at ¥28.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.78, implying the stock looks roughly 55.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group generated revenue of 5.9B CNY at a net margin of -1.7%. Revenue declined 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.55 (bear case) to ¥15.00 (bull case); at ¥28.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -56%, 603882 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥31.67) versus Asset-Based (¥9.73). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group Co., Ltd. provides medical diagnosis services in China. It also provides health check-up, cold chain logistics, and other services. Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group reported revenue of ¥6.0B in FY2025 versus ¥11.9B in FY2021, a compound −15.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥173M in FY2025.
603882 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc →
Peer Group
Diagnostics & Research · 136 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Diagnostics & Research median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Diagnostics & Research stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc TMO | $543.19 | $308.19 | -43% |
| Danaher Corporation DHR | $199.66 | $103.88 | -48% |
| WuXi AppTec Co 2359 | HK$160.70 | HK$125.20 | -22% |
| Lonza Group LONN | CHF 567.80 | CHF 259.80 | -54% |
| IDEXX Laboratories, Inc IDXX | $567.44 | $255.77 | -55% |
| Agilent Technologies, Inc A | $131.46 | $62.70 | -52% |
| Waters Corporation WAT | $368.98 | $121.96 | -67% |
| IQVIA Holdings IQV | $207.85 | $134.18 | -35% |
| Integrated Diagnostics Holdings IDHC | $0.0050 | $0.0053 | +5% |
| Illumina, Inc ILMN | $186.65 | $95.51 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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