Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. ¥14.96, price ¥21.55, upside -30.6%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.10 – ¥28.24 · fair‑value band ¥11.36 – ¥26.30 · the ¥21.55 price screens above the ¥14.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of food and feed additives in China and internationally. The company offers dietary fibers, including polydextrose and resistant dextrin; prebiotics, such as fructo-oligosaccharide, isomalto-oligosaccharide, galacto-oligosaccharide, and xylo-oligosaccharide.
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Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of food and feed additives in China and internationally. The company offers dietary fibers, including polydextrose and resistant dextrin; prebiotics, such as fructo-oligosaccharide, isomalto-oligosaccharide, galacto-oligosaccharide, and xylo-oligosaccharide. It also provides starch sugars comprising allulose, maltitol, organic maltodextrin, allulose psicose, isomalt, and isomaltulose, as well as allulose powder and maltitol syrups. The company sells its products to manufacturers, traders, and retail customers of food, beverages, dairy products, health products, pharmaceuticals, animal nutrition, and feed sectors. Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is based in Yucheng, China.
Stock analysis
Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016) currently trades at ¥21.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.96, implying the stock looks roughly 44.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥24.46 per share, and 2 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥21.55 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.13, and 15 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥11.36 (bear) to ¥26.30 (bull), the price of ¥21.55 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 1.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 653M CNY in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was 369M CNY in FY2025, compounding +37.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 9.1B CNY (≈ $1.4B) · P/E ratio 23.4 · P/S ratio 6.26 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.9200 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 26.7% · Return on equity 21.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −31%, 605016 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥11.36Fair Value ¥14.96Bull ¥26.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4791 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+11.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs 8%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 33%
Compare Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 646 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−27% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)28% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)36% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)23.4× · Pricier than median
P/B4.40× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.91× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA14.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)85· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)25· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.96 versus a price of ¥21.55, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 605016?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. is ¥14.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥21.55.
What is the quality score of 605016?
Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥14.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.36, optimistic scenario ¥26.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥14.96, about −31% upside versus a price of ¥21.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.36, optimistic scenario ¥26.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. it is ¥14.96 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥21.55. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 605016 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥21.55, fair value ¥14.96, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 605016?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥21.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥14.96). For Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. the two are ¥6.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. at about 9.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥21.55; our models calculate a fair value of ¥14.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 605016?
Our models span a range for Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥11.36, base ¥14.96, optimistic ¥26.30 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥21.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 605016?
Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥14.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 5.9, EV/EBITDA 14.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 21.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 605016 from its 52-week high?
Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. trades at ¥21.55, about 24% below its 52-week high of ¥28.24 and 15% above the low of ¥18.71 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥14.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥21.55, calculated fair value ¥14.96 (−31%), Quality Score 48/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 605016 calculated?
We run Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥14.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥21.55. Our model-based fair value is ¥14.96, about −31% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥11.36 to ¥26.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
The market capitalisation of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. is 9.1B CNY (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. is 6.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. are ¥0.9200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
The dividend yield of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. is 1.2% (payout 28.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
The net margin of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. is 26.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. is 21.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. is 13.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
The operating margin of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. is 36.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
Revenue at Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. is growing +25.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. are growing +50.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016) generate?
The free cash flow of Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. is −161M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. (605016) hold?
Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co. Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 276M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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