Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. ¥11.74, price ¥36.73, upside -68.0%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.35 – ¥56.89 · fair‑value band ¥8.81 – ¥14.68 · the ¥36.73 price screens above the ¥11.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells wires and cables in China.
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Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells wires and cables in China. Its products include XLPE insulating power cables with voltage up to 35kV, PVC insulated power cables, mining cables, general rubber sheathed flexible cables, submersible oil pump cables, locomotive-vehicle cables, shipboard offshore cables and navy cables, nuclear station cables, pre-fabricated branch cables, aerial cables, control cables, special cables, the motor winding connecting conductors, aluminum stranded conductors and aluminum stranded steel-core reinforced conductors, and others. The company also offers wind power cables, marine cables, low voltage plastic cables, medium voltage cross-linked cables, mine plastic insulated power cables, urd cables, overhead conductors and insulated cables, computer and instrumentation cables, cloth wires, photovoltaic cables, metal armoured cables, and hydraulic control pipes. In addition, it provides oil and gas field operation, sucker rod operation, and nitrogen equipment. The company's products are used in power transmission systems, Clean energy, petroleum, industrial cables, marine projects, and coal applications. It also exports its products to the United States, Holland, Italy, Russia, Britain, Australia, New Zealand, Ethiopia, Ghana, Congo, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia. Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Tangshan, China.
Stock analysis
Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196) currently trades at ¥36.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.74, implying the stock looks roughly 212.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥14.22 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥36.73 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.38, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥8.81 (bear) to ¥14.68 (bull), the price of ¥36.73 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 7.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 286M CNY in FY2025, compounding +25.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 18.8B CNY (≈ $2.8B) · P/E ratio 60.2 · P/S ratio 2.28 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.6100 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 3.8% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −68%, 605196 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥8.81Fair Value ¥11.74Bull ¥14.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4462 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +19.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14% vs 7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 8%
Compare Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 550 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−68% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth39% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)60.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.62× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.31× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA24.9× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 58
PAST (return on equity)37· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)18· sector 22
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605196
Frequently asked questions
Is Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.74 versus a price of ¥36.73, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 605196?
Our model-based fair value for Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is ¥11.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥36.73.
What is the quality score of 605196?
Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥11.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥8.81, optimistic scenario ¥14.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥11.74, about −68% upside versus a price of ¥36.73 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥8.81, optimistic scenario ¥14.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. it is ¥11.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥36.73. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 605196 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥36.73, fair value ¥11.74, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 605196?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥36.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥11.74). For Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. the two are ¥24.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. at about 18.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥36.73; our models calculate a fair value of ¥11.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 605196?
Our models span a range for Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥8.81, base ¥11.74, optimistic ¥14.68 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥36.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 605196?
Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 60.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥11.74 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.6, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 24.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 605196 from its 52-week high?
Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. trades at ¥36.73, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥56.89 and 60% above the low of ¥22.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥11.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥36.73, calculated fair value ¥11.74 (−68%), Quality Score 39/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 605196 calculated?
We run Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥11.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥36.73. Our model-based fair value is ¥11.74, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196) come from?
Earnings per share at Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. grew +10.2 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.3 %, EBIT margin +4.6 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
The market capitalisation of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is 18.8B CNY (≈ $2.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is 2.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
Earnings per share at Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. are ¥0.6100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 60.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
The dividend yield of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is 0.9% (payout 53.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
The net margin of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is 3.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
The operating margin of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
Revenue at Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is growing +38.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196)?
Earnings per share at Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. are growing +62.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196) generate?
The free cash flow of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is −1.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. (605196) carry?
The net debt of Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co. Ltd. is 1.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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