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Xinya Electronic Co (605277) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.6B CNY

XE Xinya Electronic Co 605277 · SHG
Price¥15.23
Fair Value¥13.23
Upside-13.1%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.02% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.57 – ¥16.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥14.15 to ¥13.23 (−6.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥9.57 (bear) to ¥16.89 (bull), base ¥13.23. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥30.00 ¥7.86 Fair Value ¥13.23 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.86 – ¥30.00 · fair‑value band ¥9.57 – ¥16.89 · the ¥15.23 price screens above the ¥13.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Xinya Electronic Co (605277) currently trades at ¥15.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.23, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xinya Electronic Co generated revenue of 4.0B CNY at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 13.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at 454M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.57 (bear case) to ¥16.89 (bull case); at ¥15.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -13%, 605277 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥15.34 ¥28.03 ¥51.73 80
Residual Income ¥4.91 ¥5.92 ¥12.68 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥11.04 ¥20.16 ¥33.89 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥16.13 ¥25.62 ¥52.83 38
Owner Earnings ¥13.87 ¥29.87 ¥62.21 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥11.04 ¥18.69 ¥33.59 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.32 ¥23.58 ¥42.42 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥12.66 ¥24.50 ¥39.68 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥12.22 ¥22.58 ¥33.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.11 ¥26.88 ¥49.97 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥13.65 ¥25.64 ¥46.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.63 ¥32.29 ¥45.31 54
Lynch FV ¥9.93 ¥14.19 ¥18.45 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.93 ¥14.19 ¥18.45 46
EPV ¥7.76 ¥8.88 ¥9.84 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.93 ¥3.85 ¥5.84 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.93 ¥3.33 ¥4.07 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.72 ¥14.30 ¥17.87 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.68 ¥11.57 ¥14.47 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.68 ¥11.57 ¥14.47 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.70 ¥15.35 ¥19.01 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.39 ¥16.28 ¥20.17 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.56 ¥11.91 ¥15.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.63 ¥3.52 ¥5.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥15.34 ¥28.03 ¥51.73 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥11.04 ¥20.16 ¥33.89 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.91 ¥5.92 ¥12.68 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.34 ¥13.42 ¥16.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥13.42 ¥19.17 ¥24.92 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥24.50) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.33). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.3%
Net margin 5.4%
Return on equity 13.3%
Free cash flow 329M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 30.7
More key figures
Operating margin 7.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6600
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -6.7%
Net debt 454M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xinya Electronic Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells wires and cables in China and internationally. It offers UL electrical wiring, photovoltaic cables, automotive wires, coaxial cable, flexible industrial cable, high speed transmission cable, and medical cable.

Full company description

Xinya Electronic Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells wires and cables in China and internationally. It offers UL electrical wiring, photovoltaic cables, automotive wires, coaxial cable, flexible industrial cable, high speed transmission cable, and medical cable. The company's products are used in the home appliances, communication base stations, AI data servers, intelligent offices, automated factories, robots, automobiles, medical equipment, aerospace, and new energy application standards of various industries. Xinya Electronic Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Yueqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xinya Electronic Co reported revenue of ¥3.9B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound +27.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥221M in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+32.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+31.4%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+22.9%
Revenue +27.7%/yr
FY21 ¥1.5B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥3.2B
FY24 ¥3.5B
FY25 ¥3.9B
Net income +7.0%/yr
FY21 ¥168M
FY22 ¥143M
FY23 ¥144M
FY24 ¥153M
FY25 ¥221M

605277 screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xinya Electronic Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605277

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −13% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.86× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.63× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 18.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 0
FUTURE 67 · sector 57
PAST 53 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 18

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xinya Electronic Co (605277) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.23 versus a price of ¥15.23, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 605277?
Our model-based fair value for Xinya Electronic Co is ¥13.23 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥15.23.
What is the quality score of 605277?
Xinya Electronic Co has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xinya Electronic Co (605277)?
Xinya Electronic Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605277?
The net profit margin of Xinya Electronic Co is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Xinya Electronic Co pay a dividend?
Xinya Electronic Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.02% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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