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Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co (605337) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY

ZJ Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co 605337 · SHG
Price¥9.47
Fair Value¥8.61
Upside-9.1%
Quality59/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.20% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.02 – ¥11.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +10.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥6.02 to ¥11.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥32.72 ¥7.53 Fair Value ¥8.61 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.53 – ¥32.72 · fair‑value band ¥6.02 – ¥11.19 · the ¥9.47 price screens above the ¥8.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co (605337) currently trades at ¥9.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.61, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 14.4%. Revenue declined 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at 385M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.02 (bear case) to ¥11.19 (bull case); at ¥9.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -9%, 605337 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.3500 ¥0.7000 ¥1.16 80
Residual Income ¥3.87 ¥4.41 ¥6.70 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.80 ¥3.42 ¥5.13 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.3300 ¥0.7100 ¥1.23 38
Owner Earnings ¥0.9100 ¥1.54 ¥2.39 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.80 ¥3.43 ¥5.47 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.39 ¥8.05 ¥12.19 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.09 ¥7.51 ¥10.96 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.13 ¥2.45 ¥4.14 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.81 ¥5.50 ¥8.94 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.62 ¥5.15 ¥8.06 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.42 ¥8.17 ¥10.53 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.43 ¥2.04 ¥2.65 46
EPV ¥3.41 ¥4.04 ¥4.59 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥6.38 ¥10.87 ¥16.15 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥6.38 ¥9.34 ¥12.47 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.92 ¥10.57 ¥13.21 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.99 ¥5.31 ¥6.64 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.42 ¥8.55 ¥10.69 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.08 ¥9.63 ¥12.19 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.90 ¥10.72 ¥13.55 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.91 ¥4.40 ¥5.90 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.11 ¥2.83 ¥4.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.3500 ¥0.7000 ¥1.16 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.80 ¥3.42 ¥5.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.87 ¥4.41 ¥6.70 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.41 ¥4.04 ¥4.82 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.02 ¥8.61 ¥11.19 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥9.34) versus Growth DCF (¥0.7000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.4%
Net margin 14.4%
Return on equity 10.4%
Free cash flow 34.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 20.2
More key figures
Operating margin 21.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4600
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -18.8%
Net debt 385M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, production, and sale of milk-containing beverages and other beverages in China. Its products include dairy beverages, dairy products, plant-based protein beverages, compound protein beverages, fruit juice beverages, and grain-based beverages.

Full company description

Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, production, and sale of milk-containing beverages and other beverages in China. Its products include dairy beverages, dairy products, plant-based protein beverages, compound protein beverages, fruit juice beverages, and grain-based beverages. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Jinhua, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥196M in FY2025, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.3B CNY
Latest YoY
−8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+12.4%
Revenue −3.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.5B
FY22 ¥1.4B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥1.4B
FY25 ¥1.3B
Net income −7.0%/yr
FY21 ¥262M
FY22 ¥221M
FY23 ¥237M
FY24 ¥224M
FY25 ¥196M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605337

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −9% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.37× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.20× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 15.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 21 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 42 · sector 27
HEALTH 82 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co (605337) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.61 versus a price of ¥9.47, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 605337?
Our model-based fair value for Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co is ¥8.61 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.47.
What is the quality score of 605337?
Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co (605337)?
Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605337?
The net profit margin of Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co is about 14.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co pay a dividend?
Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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