Lens Technology Co., Ltd. (6613) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$136B (≈ $17.4B)

What is Lens Technology Co., Ltd. really worth?

LT Lens Technology Co., Ltd. 6613 · HK

PriceHK$23.84

Fair ValueHK$16.34

Upside−31.5%

Quality56/100

A solid business, but trading 46% above our fair value of HK$16.34.

As of Sep 2, 2026, the fair value of Lens Technology Co., Ltd. is HK$16.34 per share against a price of HK$23.84, so the fair value sits 31% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (11/14)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +16.8 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 4.8% net margin

!Narrow moat 28/100

!Weak on past: 26 out of 100

For context

·2.31% dividend yield

Evidence: High Range HK$9.58 – HK$22.55

Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Sep 2, 2026, revised from HK$16.30 to HK$16.34 (+0.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +7.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$22.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
A fairly wide model range (HK$9.58 to HK$22.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (14 months)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

14‑month range HK$16.30 – HK$32.72 · fair‑value band HK$9.58 – HK$22.55 · the HK$23.84 price screens above the HK$16.34 fair value. As of Sep 2, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Lens Technology Co., Ltd. (6613) currently trades at HK$23.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$16.34, implying the stock looks roughly 45.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$15.67 per share, and 3 of the 25 models we run sit above the HK$23.84 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$6.98, and 22 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lens Technology Co., Ltd. generated revenue of HK$71.5B at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at HK$486M. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$9.58 (bear case) to HK$22.55 (bull case); at HK$23.84, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −31%, 6613 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.1134 per share, which is 0.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

FCF DCF best evidence HK$5.96 HK$9.94 HK$16.86 75

Growth DCF HK$5.92 HK$9.58 HK$15.78 73

Residual Income HK$8.58 HK$9.12 HK$9.88 73

All 25 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF best evidence HK$5.96 HK$9.94 HK$16.86 75

5Y Revenue Exit HK$8.19 HK$14.40 HK$22.95 68

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$14.36 HK$27.11 HK$43.37 70

5Y P/E Exit HK$10.11 HK$18.35 HK$27.87 66

10Y Revenue Exit HK$7.11 HK$12.77 HK$21.65 62

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$11.49 HK$22.08 HK$38.72 63

10Y P/E Exit HK$8.67 HK$15.67 HK$25.76 59

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$5.17 HK$23.91 HK$32.83 61

Lynch FV HK$6.30 HK$8.99 HK$11.69 58

PEG = 1.0 HK$6.30 HK$8.99 HK$11.69 55

EPV HK$7.91 HK$9.05 HK$10.05 71

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$4.81 HK$9.99 HK$15.85 63

DDM Multi-Stage HK$4.81 HK$8.43 HK$10.49 64

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$11.98 HK$15.97 HK$19.96 63

P/S Multiple HK$9.69 HK$12.93 HK$16.16 58

P/B Multiple HK$9.69 HK$12.93 HK$16.16 55

EV/EBIT HK$12.68 HK$16.56 HK$20.45 66

EV/EBITDA HK$19.80 HK$26.05 HK$32.31 67

EV/Revenue HK$9.35 HK$12.91 HK$16.47 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$5.21 HK$6.98 HK$10.41 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$5.92 HK$9.58 HK$15.78 73

Rev-Margin DCF HK$8.19 HK$14.17 HK$21.87 68

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$8.58 HK$9.12 HK$9.88 73

ROIC Compounder HK$7.91 HK$9.05 HK$10.05 69

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$10.06 HK$14.37 HK$18.69 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$15.67) versus Asset-Based (HK$6.98). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 33.1 as of Jul 2, 2026

P/S ratio 1.79 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$0.7162 price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.1

Dividend yield 2.3% payout 76.8%

Net margin 5.4% FY2025

Return on equity 6.6% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% avg 5y

Operating margin 2.4% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$71.5B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) −17.1% 3y avg +16.8%

EPS growth (YoY) −12.2%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow HK$2.0B FY2025

Net debt HK$486M FY2023 · ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 39

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 51

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 46

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 80

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 63

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 20

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 30

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 38

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 74

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

Lens Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of structural components, functional modules, complete machine assembly, and other supporting services in China and internationally. The company offers front and rear glass cover; stainless steel, space aluminum, magnesium-aluminum alloy, titanium alloy, and other new composite materials; metal; sapphire; ceramics; plastics molds; other materials; and protective panels, fingerprint modules, touch modules, biometrics, and other appearance structures. It also provides functional components, supporting accessories, fixture molds, and self-developed industrial internet systems, as well as production, testing, and automation equipment. It serves smartphones, smart wearables, laptops, tablets, smart vehicles, smart home appliances, photovoltaic products, and other applications. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Changsha, China. Lens Technology Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Lens Technology (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lens Technology Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 74.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 45.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was 4.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding +18.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Latest Revenue (FY 2025)

HK$74.4B

Latest YoY

+6.5%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+16.8%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

+15.1% · in HKD

Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.

Earnings growth per share+12.8%

Dividend yield2.3%

Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6.6% (2021) → 6.5% (2025) · steady

Revenue +13.2%/yr

FY21 45.3B CNY

FY22 46.7B CNY

FY23 54.5B CNY

FY24 69.9B CNY

FY25 74.4B CNY

Net income +18.0%/yr

FY21 2.1B CNY

FY22 2.4B CNY

FY23 3.0B CNY

FY24 3.6B CNY

FY25 4.0B CNY

6613 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Lens Technology Co., Ltd. · Fair Value
HK$16.34 −46%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6613.HK" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Lens Technology Co., Ltd. · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$16.34</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−46%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lens Technology Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6613.HK

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 638 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median

Fair Value upside −36% · Above median

Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median

Return on assets 3% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median

Revenue growth −17% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median

Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.1× · Cheaper than median

P/B 2.48× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 1.91× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 8.6× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE0 · sector 0

FUTURE0 · sector 40

PAST26 · sector 25

HEALTH96 · sector 95

DIVIDEND46 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH	$157.74	$97.19	−38%
Corning Incorporated GLW	CHF 134.64	CHF 35.18	−74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308	1,750 TWD	602.37 TWD	−66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475	¥56.06	¥38.44	−31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150	1,503,000 KRW	172,954 KRW	−88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384	¥202.11	¥21.19	−90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL	$202.66	$144.42	−29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183	¥132.80	¥36.30	−73%
Flex Ltd FLEX	$124.53	$48.10	−61%
Celestica Inc CLS	$298.70	$113.54	−62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lens Technology Co., Ltd. (6613) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$16.34 versus a price of HK$23.84, about −31% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 6613?

Our model-based fair value for Lens Technology Co., Ltd. is HK$16.34 (as of Sep 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$23.84.

What is the quality score of 6613?

Lens Technology Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Lens Technology Co., Ltd. (6613)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$16.34 (as of Sep 2, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$9.58, optimistic scenario HK$22.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Lens Technology Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$16.34, about −31% upside versus a price of HK$23.84 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$9.58, optimistic scenario HK$22.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Lens Technology Co., Ltd. (6613)?

Lens Technology Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$71.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 6613?

The net profit margin of Lens Technology Co., Ltd. is about 4.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does Lens Technology Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?

Lens Technology Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 2, 2026).

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