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Sigenergy Technology Co (6656) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$89.7B

ST Sigenergy Technology Co 6656 · HK
PriceHK$317.60
Fair ValueHK$202.24
Upside-36.3%
Quality70/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 32.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Wide moat 100/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$151.07 – HK$253.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +8.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$253.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

HK$654.57 HK$270.40 Fair Value HK$202.24 Apr 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range HK$270.40 – HK$654.57 · fair‑value band HK$151.07 – HK$253.41 · the HK$317.60 price screens above the HK$202.24 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sigenergy Technology Co (6656) currently trades at HK$317.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$202.24, implying the stock looks roughly 36.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sigenergy Technology Co generated revenue of HK$9.0B at a net margin of 32.4%. It earns a return on equity of 133.6%. Net debt stands at HK$601M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 26.4 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$151.07 (bear case) to HK$253.41 (bull case); at HK$317.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -65% fair-value upside, at -36%, 6656 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder HK$119.18 HK$160.30 HK$210.16 72
Growth-Adj P/E HK$379.00 HK$541.43 HK$703.86 68
P/E Multiple HK$186.27 HK$248.36 HK$310.45 63
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$170.81 HK$382.97 HK$828.34 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$80.42 HK$560.86 HK$787.08 54
Lynch FV HK$289.76 HK$413.94 HK$538.12 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$289.76 HK$413.94 HK$538.12 46
EPV HK$104.30 HK$120.93 HK$135.49 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$186.27 HK$248.36 HK$310.45 63
P/S Multiple HK$54.70 HK$72.94 HK$91.17 58
P/B Multiple HK$51.80 HK$69.07 HK$86.34 55
EV/EBIT HK$173.62 HK$230.00 HK$286.38 53
EV/EBITDA HK$136.49 HK$180.48 HK$224.48 54
EV/Revenue HK$50.44 HK$70.14 HK$89.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$7.67 HK$10.28 HK$15.35 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$96.90 HK$169.92 HK$4,720 61
ROIC Compounder HK$119.18 HK$160.30 HK$210.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$379.00 HK$541.43 HK$703.86 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$541.43) versus Asset-Based (HK$10.28). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$9.0B
Net margin 32.4%
Return on equity 134%
Free cash flow −HK$571M FY2025
P/E ratio 26.4 as of Jul 2, 2026
Operating margin 35.5%
More key figures
Net debt HK$601M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1

Profitability 95
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sigenergy Technology Co., Ltd develops and manufactures energy storage systems, inverters, and related smart energy solutions for residential, commercial, and industrial applications.

Full company description

Sigenergy Technology Co., Ltd develops and manufactures energy storage systems, inverters, and related smart energy solutions for residential, commercial, and industrial applications. It offers Sigenstor, 5-in-one energy storage systems; Sigen LoadHub, a backup power solution provides intelligent energy management and monitoring; Sigen backup switch, a plug and play backup solution; SigenMicro inverter; Sigen EV DC charging modules; and Sigen EV AC chargers. The company serves commercial and industrial clients, businesses, communities, the aquaculture sector, and residential clients. It operates in Asia-Pacific, Europe, Africa, Chinese Mainland, Middle East and Central Asia, Latin America, and Northern America. The company was founded in 2022 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sigenergy Technology Co reported revenue of HK$9.0B in FY2025 versus HK$58.3M in FY2023, a compound +1,142.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.9B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$9.0B
Latest YoY
+576.8%
Revenue +1,142.5%/yr
FY23 HK$58.3M
FY24 HK$1.3B
FY25 HK$9.0B
Net income
FY23 −HK$373M
FY24 HK$83.8M
FY25 HK$2.9B

6656 screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sigenergy Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6656

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 527 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −36% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 134% · Top 25%
Return on assets 40% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 23.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 27.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$652.50 HK$394.19 -40%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 269.00 THB 40.28 THB -85%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 365,500 KRW 201,455 KRW -45%
WEG S.A WEGE3 14,900 ARS 4,338 ARS -71%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥117.53 ¥123.83 +5%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 782,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -53%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 208,500 KRW 29,594 KRW -86%
Hyosung Heavy Industries Corporation 298040 2,892,000 KRW 1,013,099 KRW -65%
Hitachi Energy India Limited POWERINDIA ₹35,800 ₹6,106 -83%
Polycab India Limited POLYCAB ₹9,289 ₹3,218 -65%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sigenergy Technology Co (6656) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$202.24 versus a price of HK$317.60, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6656?
Our model-based fair value for Sigenergy Technology Co is HK$202.24 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$317.60.
What is the quality score of 6656?
Sigenergy Technology Co has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sigenergy Technology Co (6656)?
Sigenergy Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$9.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6656?
The net profit margin of Sigenergy Technology Co is about 32.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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