Liuliumei Co (6658) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$13.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$43.44 to HK$43.71 (+0.6%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +8.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$56.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$30.59 to HK$56.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (2 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
2‑month range HK$126.00 – HK$190.00 · fair‑value band HK$30.59 – HK$56.82 · the HK$176.50 price screens above the HK$43.71 fair value. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Liuliumei Co (6658) currently trades at HK$176.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$43.71, implying the stock looks roughly 75.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Liuliumei Co generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of 10.6%. It earns a return on equity of 24.3%. Net debt stands at HK$444M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 65.7. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$30.59 (bear case) to HK$56.82 (bull case); at HK$176.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -75%, 6658 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$39.28) versus Asset-Based (HK$7.50). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Liuliumei Co., Ltd. operates as a fruit snack company that produces and sells plum-based products. Its products include Snow Plum, Refreshing Plum, Preserved Plum, Smoked Plum, Prune Knight, dried plum snacks, and prune-based products. It also offers Dameida plum gummies, plum tea concentrate, and electrolyte-infused slushy jelly.
Full company description
Liuliumei Co., Ltd. operates as a fruit snack company that produces and sells plum-based products. Its products include Snow Plum, Refreshing Plum, Preserved Plum, Smoked Plum, Prune Knight, dried plum snacks, and prune-based products. It also offers Dameida plum gummies, plum tea concentrate, and electrolyte-infused slushy jelly. It sells its products through online stores, supermarkets, membership stores, snack stores, and a distributorship network. It operates under the brand names Liuliumei and Fiber Life. The company was formerly known as Liuliu Orchard Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Liuliumei Co., Ltd. in April 2016. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Wuhu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Liuliumei Co reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$1.3B in FY2023, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$182M in FY2025, compounding +35.5%/yr from FY2023.
6658 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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