6858 (6858) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$1.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −4.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$2.84 – HK$3.65 · fair‑value band HK$2.36 – HK$3.94 · the HK$2.87 price screens below the HK$3.15 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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6858 (6858) currently trades at HK$2.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.15 — implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, 6858 generated revenue of HK$19.7B at a net margin of -9.2%. Revenue declined 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$10.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
6858 reported revenue of HK$23.5B in FY2026 versus HK$29.0B in FY2022, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.2B in FY2026, compounding −33.9%/yr from FY2022.
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6 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oriental Land Co OLCLF | $15.65 | $9.28 | -41% |
| Pop Mart International Group PMRTY | $20.47 | $13.71 | -33% |
| ANTA Sports Products Limited ANPDF | $9.59 | $8.98 | -6% |
| 9992 9992 | HK$153.40 | HK$237.11 | +55% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.11 | $17.45 | -52% |
| BANDAI NAMCO Holdings NCBDY | $11.23 | $15.86 | +41% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.