GemPharmatech Co (688046) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CN · Market cap 7.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +43.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range ¥8.82 – ¥33.46 · fair‑value band ¥5.74 – ¥9.57 · the ¥33.31 price screens above the ¥7.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
GemPharmatech Co (688046) currently trades at ¥33.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.65, implying the stock looks roughly 77.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, GemPharmatech Co generated revenue of 831M CNY at a net margin of 19.2%. Revenue grew 21.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 44.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.74 (bear case) to ¥9.57 (bull case); at ¥33.31, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 186% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -77%, 688046 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.98) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GemPharmatech Co., Ltd., a contract research organization, provides genetically engineered mouse models and preclinical research services to the scientific community worldwide.
Full company description
GemPharmatech Co., Ltd., a contract research organization, provides genetically engineered mouse models and preclinical research services to the scientific community worldwide. The company offers mouse models, including knockout and conditional knockout mouse, disease mouse, immunodeficient mouse, germ-free mouse, and tool mice models, as well as operates wild mouse project. It also provides custom model generation, preclinical testing, germ-free and microbiome, cell lines and customization, custom breeding, animal quality testing, and other services. The company has a strategic alliance with Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSK) to accelerate the discovery of new therapeutic antibodies. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GemPharmatech Co reported revenue of ¥793M in FY2025 versus ¥394M in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥143M in FY2025, compounding +3.4%/yr from FY2021.
688046 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 603 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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