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Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co (688085) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 4.5B CNY

SS Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co 688085 · SHG
Price¥13.47
Fair Value¥2.90
Upside-78.5%
Quality56/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.14% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.28 – ¥3.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +11.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥30.45 ¥10.85 Fair Value ¥2.90 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.85 – ¥30.45 · fair‑value band ¥2.28 – ¥3.41 · the ¥13.47 price screens above the ¥2.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co (688085) currently trades at ¥13.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.90, implying the stock looks roughly 78.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co generated revenue of 550M CNY at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 371M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.28 (bear case) to ¥3.41 (bull case); at ¥13.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -78%, 688085 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.22 ¥3.17 ¥4.71 80
Residual Income ¥4.07 ¥3.87 ¥3.17 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.20 ¥3.18 ¥4.46 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.23 ¥3.29 ¥5.10 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.37 ¥5.34 ¥8.70 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.20 ¥3.21 ¥4.59 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.94 ¥4.76 ¥7.08 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.11 ¥5.11 ¥7.43 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.16 ¥3.11 ¥4.60 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.68 ¥4.23 ¥6.66 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.79 ¥4.48 ¥6.95 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.17 ¥5.67 ¥7.81 54
Lynch FV ¥1.52 ¥2.17 ¥2.82 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.52 ¥2.17 ¥2.82 46
EPV ¥2.07 ¥2.25 ¥2.40 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0500 ¥0.1000 ¥0.1500 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0500 ¥0.0900 ¥0.1100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.85 ¥3.80 ¥4.74 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.20 ¥2.93 ¥3.67 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.20 ¥2.93 ¥3.67 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.71 ¥3.31 ¥3.91 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.49 ¥4.35 ¥5.21 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.19 ¥2.75 ¥3.30 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.87 ¥3.84 ¥5.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.22 ¥3.17 ¥4.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.20 ¥3.18 ¥4.46 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.07 ¥3.87 ¥3.17 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.07 ¥2.25 ¥2.40 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.42 ¥3.46 ¥4.50 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥4.23) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 550M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1%
Net margin 10.4%
Return on equity 1.7%
Free cash flow 39.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 82.4
More key figures
Operating margin 5.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1500
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -50.0%
Net cash 371M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 82
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 22
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells orthopedics implants in China. The company offers spinal and trauma implants under Tytus and Sanyou brand.

Full company description

Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells orthopedics implants in China. The company offers spinal and trauma implants under Tytus and Sanyou brand. Its spinal products comprise anterior cervical plate, anterior thoracolumbar, posterior cervical, posterior thoracolumbar, and minimally invasive products; and trauma implants, including shoulder and elbow system, hip and pelvis system, knee joint system, foot and ankle, and palm and wrist systems. It also offers sports medicine. Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co reported revenue of ¥543M in FY2025 versus ¥593M in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥63.3M in FY2025, compounding −23.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
543M CNY
Latest YoY
+19.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+24.5%
Revenue −2.2%/yr
FY21 ¥593M
FY22 ¥649M
FY23 ¥460M
FY24 ¥454M
FY25 ¥543M
Net income −23.7%/yr
FY21 ¥186M
FY22 ¥191M
FY23 ¥95.6M
FY24 ¥11.5M
FY25 ¥63.3M

688085 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688085

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 82.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.15× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 8.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 17.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 60.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 31 · sector 27
PAST 7 · sector 8
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co (688085) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.90 versus a price of ¥13.47, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688085?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co is ¥2.90 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.47.
What is the quality score of 688085?
Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co (688085)?
Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 550M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688085?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co is about 10.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai Sanyou Medical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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