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Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co (688290) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 6.3B CNY

HJ Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co 688290 · SHG
Price¥69.38
Fair Value¥6.31
Upside-90.9%
Quality44/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 9.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.85 – ¥7.78 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥36.53 to ¥6.31 (−82.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +15.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥83.33 ¥24.69 Fair Value ¥6.31 Apr 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range ¥24.69 – ¥83.33 · fair‑value band ¥4.85 – ¥7.78 · the ¥69.38 price screens above the ¥6.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co (688290) currently trades at ¥69.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.31, implying the stock looks roughly 90.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co generated revenue of 150M CNY at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 169.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.85 (bear case) to ¥7.78 (bull case); at ¥69.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -91%, 688290 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.97 ¥7.51 ¥10.05 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.05 ¥6.65 ¥8.64 74
Gordon GGM ¥1.16 ¥1.27 ¥1.42 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.79 ¥7.38 ¥10.24 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.05 ¥6.55 ¥8.72 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.23 ¥6.36 ¥7.54 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.16 ¥1.27 ¥1.42 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.16 ¥1.44 ¥1.81 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥4.85 ¥6.31 ¥7.78 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.09 ¥8.16 ¥12.18 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.97 ¥7.51 ¥10.05 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.05 ¥6.65 ¥8.64 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥8.16) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.27). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 150M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +169%
Net margin 9.1%
Return on equity 1.0%
Free cash flow 48.1M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -37.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2900
EPS growth (YoY) -19.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of special robots and intelligent equipment to nuclear industry and military sectors in China.

Full company description

Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of special robots and intelligent equipment to nuclear industry and military sectors in China. The company offers special-purpose robots, such as radiation-resistant articulated robot, explosion-proof AGV, embodied intelligence robots, and inspection UAV; special equipment, including nuclear medicine intelligent filling, intelligent support, and camouflage and protection equipment. It also offers digital systems, such as comprehensive information, production management, prognostics and health management, warehouse management, warehouse control, virtual training, robot control, and virtual training systema, as well as digital twin platform, interactive electronic manual, AI security agent, and AI all-in-one machine. Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co reported revenue of ¥200M in FY2025 versus ¥349M in FY2021, a compound −13.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥32.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 34/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
200M CNY
Latest YoY
−27.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−24.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.7%
Revenue −13.0%/yr
FY21 ¥349M
FY22 ¥463M
FY23 ¥255M
FY24 ¥276M
FY25 ¥200M
Net income
FY21 ¥76.4M
FY22 ¥122M
FY23 ¥34.7M
FY24 ¥37.6M
FY25 −¥32.0M

688290 screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688290

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 215 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 169% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 6.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 19.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 49.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 4 · sector 26
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR $0.0310 $0.0276 -11%
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $434.97 $163.87 -62%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $168.56 $43.74 -74%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $513.84 $74.05 -86%
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 4,685 TWD 1,559 TWD -67%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.12 ¥30.11 -12%
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 373.50 TWD 297.22 TWD -20%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥587.60 ¥60.86 -90%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$23.16 HK$3.07 -87%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥106.13 ¥28.88 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co (688290) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.31 versus a price of ¥69.38, about −91% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688290?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co is ¥6.31 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥69.38.
What is the quality score of 688290?
Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co (688290)?
Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 150M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688290?
The net profit margin of Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co is about 9.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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