3Peak Inc (688536) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 36.7B CNY
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 16, 2026, revised from ¥25.98 to ¥35.08 (+35.0%) since Aug 12, 2026. Share price +19.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥43.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥68.09 – ¥614.12 · fair‑value band ¥28.10 – ¥43.85 · the ¥309.94 price screens above the ¥35.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
Analysis
3Peak Inc (688536) currently trades at ¥309.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥35.08, implying the stock looks roughly 88.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, 3Peak Inc generated revenue of 2.4B CNY at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue grew 66.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 923M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥28.10 (bear case) to ¥43.85 (bull case); at ¥309.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 145% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -89%, 688536 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥63.32) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
3Peak Incorporated engages in the research and development, testing, and sale of integrated circuits, application systems, and software in China and internationally. The company also provides after-sales services.
Full company description
3Peak Incorporated engages in the research and development, testing, and sale of integrated circuits, application systems, and software in China and internationally. The company also provides after-sales services. Its products include amplifiers and special function circuits, data converters, DCDC and battery management products, drivers, interfaces, isolation products, LDO and voltage references, power switches, and supervisors for use in automotive, communication, industrial, consumer electronics, medical health, and new energy applications. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
3Peak Inc reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥173M in FY2025, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2021.
688536 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →
Peer Group
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 213 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Holding ASML | C$50.51 | C$21.21 | -58% |
| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $548.15 | $183.10 | -67% |
| Lam Research Corporation LRCX | $326.11 | $91.80 | -72% |
| NAURA Technology Group 002371 | ¥760.00 | ¥205.30 | -73% |
| Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 | ¥380.95 | ¥55.05 | -86% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 6,445 TWD | 1,804 TWD | -72% |
| MPI Corporation 6223 | 6,495 TWD | 738.64 TWD | -89% |
| HANMI Semiconductor Co 042700 | 217,500 KRW | 47,976 KRW | -78% |
| Wonik IPS Co 240810 | 120,000 KRW | 36,380 KRW | -70% |
| LEENO Industrial Inc 058470 | 71,400 KRW | 46,234 KRW | -35% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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