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Hefei Kewell Power System Co (688551) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 6.4B CNY

HK Hefei Kewell Power System Co 688551 · SHG
Price¥40.10
Fair Value¥21.44
Upside-46.5%
Quality58/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.39% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range ¥16.07 – ¥26.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥11.91 to ¥21.44 (+80.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −26.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥26.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥77.20 ¥17.76 Fair Value ¥21.44 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥17.76 – ¥77.20 · fair‑value band ¥16.07 – ¥26.80 · the ¥40.10 price screens above the ¥21.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Hefei Kewell Power System Co (688551) currently trades at ¥40.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.44, implying the stock looks roughly 46.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hefei Kewell Power System Co generated revenue of 495M CNY at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue declined 16.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 415M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥16.07 (bear case) to ¥26.80 (bull case); at ¥40.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -47%, 688551 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥9.15 ¥9.24 ¥8.71 76
Growth DCF ¥4.33 ¥6.41 ¥9.56 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.71 ¥5.39 ¥8.16 70
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.39 ¥6.22 ¥10.66 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.46 ¥11.02 ¥17.65 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.61 ¥13.55 ¥21.56 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.66 ¥15.89 ¥24.82 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.57 ¥9.69 ¥16.89 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.52 ¥11.59 ¥20.33 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥7.23 ¥13.33 ¥23.19 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.05 ¥23.60 ¥32.85 54
Lynch FV ¥6.68 ¥9.54 ¥12.40 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.68 ¥9.54 ¥12.40 46
EPV ¥6.81 ¥7.54 ¥8.18 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.71 ¥5.39 ¥8.16 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.71 ¥4.66 ¥5.69 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.93 ¥11.91 ¥14.89 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.59 ¥10.12 ¥12.65 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.59 ¥10.12 ¥12.65 55
EV/EBIT ¥9.83 ¥12.39 ¥14.95 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.46 ¥11.90 ¥14.33 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.33 ¥9.55 ¥11.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.05 ¥8.10 ¥12.09 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.33 ¥6.41 ¥9.56 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.46 ¥10.76 ¥16.77 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.15 ¥9.24 ¥8.71 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.81 ¥7.54 ¥8.18 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.61 ¥13.73 ¥17.85 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥13.73) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.66). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 495M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.8%
Net margin 10.3%
Return on equity 3.9%
Free cash flow 18.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 124.7
More key figures
Operating margin 7.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4700
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -62.5%
Net cash 415M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hefei Kewell Power System Co.,Ltd. provides test systems and intelligent manufacturing equipment in China and internationally. The company offers test power supply products, hydrogen energy testing and intelligent manufacturing equipment, and power semiconductor testing and intelligent manufacturing equipment.

Full company description

Hefei Kewell Power System Co.,Ltd. provides test systems and intelligent manufacturing equipment in China and internationally. The company offers test power supply products, hydrogen energy testing and intelligent manufacturing equipment, and power semiconductor testing and intelligent manufacturing equipment. It also provides AI server power system testing, photovoltaic energy storage testing, new energy vehicle testing, fuel cell testing system, electrolytic cell testing system, power semiconductor test, and semiconductor packaging process equipment solutions; and technical, quality, and customer support services. The company exports its products to Europe, Japan, South Korea, and other Southeast Asian countries and regions. Its products are used in new energy power generation, electric vehicles, hydrogen energy, power semiconductors, rail transportation, automotive electronics, intelligent manufacturing, electromechanical equipment, aerospace, and laboratory certification industries. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hefei Kewell Power System Co reported revenue of ¥514M in FY2025 versus ¥248M in FY2021, a compound +20.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥64.9M in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
514M CNY
Latest YoY
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+25.9%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+22.9%
Revenue +20.0%/yr
FY21 ¥248M
FY22 ¥375M
FY23 ¥529M
FY24 ¥478M
FY25 ¥514M
Net income +3.3%/yr
FY21 ¥56.9M
FY22 ¥62.2M
FY23 ¥117M
FY24 ¥49.0M
FY25 ¥64.9M

688551 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hefei Kewell Power System Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688551

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 124.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 12.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 52.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 99.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 15 · sector 24
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 8 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hefei Kewell Power System Co (688551) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.44 versus a price of ¥40.10, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688551?
Our model-based fair value for Hefei Kewell Power System Co is ¥21.44 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥40.10.
What is the quality score of 688551?
Hefei Kewell Power System Co has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hefei Kewell Power System Co (688551)?
Hefei Kewell Power System Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 495M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688551?
The net profit margin of Hefei Kewell Power System Co is about 10.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hefei Kewell Power System Co pay a dividend?
Hefei Kewell Power System Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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