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Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co (688578) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 37.4B CNY

SA Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co 688578 · SHG
Price¥116.99
Fair Value¥82.57
Upside-29.4%
Quality81/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 42.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.25% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Wide moat 90/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥62.25 – ¥292.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −1.3% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 81/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥62.25 to ¥292.77). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥133.00 ¥15.11 Fair Value ¥82.57 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥15.11 – ¥133.00 · fair‑value band ¥62.25 – ¥292.77 · the ¥116.99 price screens above the ¥82.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co (688578) currently trades at ¥116.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥82.57, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co generated revenue of 5.7B CNY at a net margin of 42.6%. Revenue grew 44.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 36.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 587M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥62.25 (bear case) to ¥292.77 (bull case); at ¥116.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -29%, 688578 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥38.79 ¥58.87 ¥723.07 76
Growth DCF ¥76.66 ¥150.68 ¥271.97 72
Gordon GGM ¥7.35 ¥15.27 ¥24.23 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥81.41 ¥127.24 ¥273.18 38
Owner Earnings ¥72.60 ¥163.29 ¥353.68 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥42.90 ¥66.76 ¥116.17 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥69.41 ¥120.36 ¥220.22 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥83.78 ¥186.64 ¥327.03 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥53.72 ¥101.29 ¥126.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥74.15 ¥158.36 ¥303.58 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥84.64 ¥189.31 ¥361.89 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥32.96 ¥229.87 ¥322.59 54
Lynch FV ¥118.76 ¥169.66 ¥220.55 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥118.76 ¥169.66 ¥220.55 46
EPV ¥48.47 ¥56.30 ¥63.15 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥7.35 ¥15.27 ¥24.23 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥7.35 ¥12.88 ¥16.03 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥79.98 ¥106.64 ¥133.30 63
P/S Multiple ¥30.17 ¥40.22 ¥50.28 58
P/B Multiple ¥48.74 ¥64.99 ¥81.24 55
EV/EBIT ¥74.30 ¥98.56 ¥122.83 53
EV/EBITDA ¥62.45 ¥82.77 ¥103.08 54
EV/Revenue ¥25.63 ¥35.98 ¥46.32 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.22 ¥9.68 ¥14.44 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥76.66 ¥150.68 ¥271.97 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥46.83 ¥76.27 ¥138.37 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥38.79 ¥58.87 ¥723.07 76
ROIC Compounder ¥62.90 ¥95.85 ¥139.85 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥157.64 ¥225.21 ¥292.77 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥225.21) versus Asset-Based (¥9.68). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +44.2%
Net margin 42.6%
Return on equity 36.1%
Free cash flow 2.1B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 15.5
More key figures
Operating margin 45.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥5.36
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +54.9%
Net cash 587M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 81/100

Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 89
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd., a pharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development of tumor-targeted drugs in China in internationally. The company's lead product is vometinib mesylate tablet for the treatment of patients with epidermal growth factor receptor mutation-positive non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Full company description

Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd., a pharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development of tumor-targeted drugs in China in internationally. The company's lead product is vometinib mesylate tablet for the treatment of patients with epidermal growth factor receptor mutation-positive non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). It also develops pralatinib capsules, as well as glerexyl citrate tablets for treating adult patients with locally advanced or metastatic NSCLC. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co reported revenue of ¥5.2B in FY2025 versus ¥530M in FY2021, a compound +76.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.2B in FY2025, compounding +230.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+45.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+87.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+520.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+125.5%
Revenue +76.7%/yr
FY21 ¥530M
FY22 ¥791M
FY23 ¥2.0B
FY24 ¥3.6B
FY25 ¥5.2B
Net income +230.5%/yr
FY21 ¥18.3M
FY22 ¥131M
FY23 ¥644M
FY24 ¥1.4B
FY25 ¥2.2B

688578 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688578

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −29% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Return on assets 22% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 43% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 46% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 44% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 5.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.59× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 25 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co (688578) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥82.57 versus a price of ¥116.99, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688578?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co is ¥82.57 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥116.99.
What is the quality score of 688578?
Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co (688578)?
Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688578?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co is about 42.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 42.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.25% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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