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Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation (688582) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 21.7B CNY

AX Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation 688582 · SHG
Price¥42.53
Fair Value¥15.31
Upside-64.0%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 53.7% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.59% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.91 – ¥18.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥18.42 to ¥15.31 (−16.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −24.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥86.58 ¥22.20 Fair Value ¥15.31 Jun 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range ¥22.20 – ¥86.58 · fair‑value band ¥11.91 – ¥18.71 · the ¥42.53 price screens above the ¥15.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation (688582) currently trades at ¥42.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.31, implying the stock looks roughly 64.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation generated revenue of 487M CNY at a net margin of 53.7%. Revenue declined 41.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 83.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.91 (bear case) to ¥18.71 (bull case); at ¥42.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -64%, 688582 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.84 ¥6.88 ¥13.38 76
Growth DCF ¥12.85 ¥23.83 ¥41.84 72
Gordon GGM ¥3.48 ¥7.23 ¥11.48 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥13.55 ¥20.36 ¥42.01 38
Owner Earnings ¥13.31 ¥28.14 ¥59.25 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥8.63 ¥12.98 ¥22.04 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.65 ¥21.11 ¥37.71 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥16.92 ¥36.91 ¥64.37 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.98 ¥18.21 ¥22.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.12 ¥26.87 ¥50.76 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥16.23 ¥36.06 ¥69.12 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.14 ¥35.82 ¥50.26 54
Lynch FV ¥16.34 ¥23.34 ¥30.35 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥16.34 ¥23.34 ¥30.35 46
EPV ¥6.94 ¥7.81 ¥8.58 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.48 ¥7.23 ¥11.48 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.48 ¥6.10 ¥7.59 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.86 ¥21.15 ¥26.43 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.38 ¥7.17 ¥8.96 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.63 ¥12.84 ¥16.05 55
EV/EBIT ¥14.24 ¥18.42 ¥22.60 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.91 ¥15.31 ¥18.71 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.26 ¥8.21 ¥10.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.15 ¥4.22 ¥6.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.85 ¥23.83 ¥41.84 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.11 ¥14.62 ¥25.28 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.84 ¥6.88 ¥13.38 76
ROIC Compounder ¥7.80 ¥10.27 ¥12.68 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥24.29 ¥34.70 ¥45.11 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥34.70) versus Asset-Based (¥4.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 487M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -41.9%
Net margin 53.7%
Return on equity 11.0%
Free cash flow 283M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 83.1
More key figures
Operating margin -5.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6500
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -90.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, testing, and sale of sensors in China. The company offers MEMS accelerometers and gyroscopes.

Full company description

Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, testing, and sale of sensors in China. The company offers MEMS accelerometers and gyroscopes. Its products are used in industrial production, industrial equipment monitoring and maintenance, automotive driver assistance, meteorological monitoring, oil exploration, surveying and mapping, bridge monitoring, geological exploration, disaster early warning, and other fields. Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation Limited was founded in 2012 and is based in Haidian, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation reported revenue of ¥524M in FY2025 versus ¥166M in FY2021, a compound +33.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥303M in FY2025, compounding +38.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
524M CNY
Latest YoY
+29.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+32.2%
Revenue +33.3%/yr
FY21 ¥166M
FY22 ¥227M
FY23 ¥317M
FY24 ¥405M
FY25 ¥524M
Net income +38.4%/yr
FY21 ¥82.6M
FY22 ¥117M
FY23 ¥165M
FY24 ¥222M
FY25 ¥303M

688582 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688582

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 54% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -42% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 83.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 44.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 84.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 44 · sector 24
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation (688582) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.31 versus a price of ¥42.53, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688582?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation is ¥15.31 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥42.53.
What is the quality score of 688582?
Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation (688582)?
Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 487M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688582?
The net profit margin of Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation is about 53.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 53.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation pay a dividend?
Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.59% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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