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Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co (688699) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 6.5B CNY

SS Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co 688699 · SHG
Price¥62.95
Fair Value¥38.98
Upside-38.1%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥29.03 – ¥48.86 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥10.04 to ¥38.98 (+288.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −18.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥48.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥249.05 ¥21.43 Fair Value ¥38.98 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥21.43 – ¥249.05 · fair‑value band ¥29.03 – ¥48.86 · the ¥62.95 price screens above the ¥38.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co (688699) currently trades at ¥62.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥38.98, implying the stock looks roughly 38.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co generated revenue of 770M CNY at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 94.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at 10.7M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥29.03 (bear case) to ¥48.86 (bull case); at ¥62.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 117% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -38%, 688699 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥10.04 ¥15.76 ¥24.63 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.0700 ¥0.1400 ¥0.2100 70
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.60 ¥13.53 ¥19.65 67
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥10.04 ¥16.15 ¥25.87 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.39 ¥5.02 ¥7.63 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥8.60 ¥13.57 ¥20.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.69 ¥9.77 ¥13.41 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.81 ¥13.55 ¥20.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.81 ¥10.88 ¥15.08 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0700 ¥0.1400 ¥0.2100 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0700 ¥0.1200 ¥0.1400 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥5.34 ¥6.80 ¥8.27 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.04 ¥11.09 ¥14.13 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.41 ¥7.25 ¥10.82 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥10.04 ¥15.76 ¥24.63 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.60 ¥13.53 ¥19.65 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥13.53) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 770M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +94.9%
Net margin 1.4%
Return on equity 0.9%
Free cash flow 85.9M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 737.6
More key figures
Operating margin 8.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0800
EPS growth (YoY) -91.2%
Net debt 10.7M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 92
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 62
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co., Ltd engages in the design, processing, and sale of integrated circuits in China. The company offers LED display driver chips, including display driver, grid screen driver, single/dual color drive, row driver chip, logic control chip, and numeric display driver chip; LED intelligent landscape driver chips, such as …

Full company description

Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co., Ltd engages in the design, processing, and sale of integrated circuits in China. The company offers LED display driver chips, including display driver, grid screen driver, single/dual color drive, row driver chip, logic control chip, and numeric display driver chip; LED intelligent landscape driver chips, such as series driver, DMX512 parallel driver, and DMX512 serial driver chips; LED lighting driver chips that include intelligent driver chips, high voltage linear driver chips, low voltage linear driver chips, and power supply driver chips; power management chips, including AC-DC driver, DC-DC driver, and LDO linear regulator; and mini LED backlight driver chips. Its products are used in MiniLED and MicroLED, such as LED display screens, smart landscapes, intelligent lighting, and electronics product and equipment. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co reported revenue of ¥665M in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound −14.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥46.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
665M CNY
Latest YoY
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+9.7%
Revenue −14.6%/yr
FY21 ¥1.3B
FY22 ¥685M
FY23 ¥646M
FY24 ¥607M
FY25 ¥665M
Net income
FY21 ¥647M
FY22 ¥10.6M
FY23 −¥86.6M
FY24 ¥7.1M
FY25 −¥46.4M

688699 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688699

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −38% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 95% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 737.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 3 · sector 24
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co (688699) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥38.98 versus a price of ¥62.95, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688699?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co is ¥38.98 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥62.95.
What is the quality score of 688699?
Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co (688699)?
Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 770M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688699?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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