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Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nan Ya Plastics Corp TWD 364, price TWD 238, upside +52.9%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · TW · ISIN TW0001303006

NY Some data Sep 24, 2026

Nan Ya Plastics Corp

1303 · TW

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

Fair value 364.00 TWD · Strongly undervalued (+53%)
!Quality 53/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.34% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 23 out of 100
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

244.00 TWD 26.65 TWD Fair Value 364.00 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 26.65 TWD – 244.00 TWD · fair‑value band 330.01 TWD – 473.35 TWD · the 238.00 TWD price screens below the 364.00 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Nan Ya Plastics Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic products, polyester fibers, petrochemical products, and electronic materials in Taiwan, China, the United States, and internationally.

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Nan Ya Plastics Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic products, polyester fibers, petrochemical products, and electronic materials in Taiwan, China, the United States, and internationally. It provides plastic products, such as PP synthetic paper, adhesives, optical films, outdoor decoration materials, TPU films, synthetic leathers, PU resins, doors, Neuma fire-rated doors and windows, plastic pallets, PVC cling and PE Stectch films, BOPP film, engineering and PVC compounds, unsaturated polyesters, pipes and fittings, rigid sheets, A-PET sheet/rigid films, interior decoration materials, PVC sheets, PVC rigid sheet, injection, decoration and window films, PET films, and PU-DISCs. The company also offers chemicals, including phthalate plasticizers, phthalic anhydride, alcohols, glycols, curing agents, hydrogen peroxide, tetrahydrofuran, butanediol, bisphenol-A, epoxidized soybean oil, stabilizers, liquefied gases, and epoxy. In addition, it offers electronic materials comprising copper clad laminate, glass fabrics, liquid crystal displays, touch panels, copper foils, and PCB inks; and fibers and textiles consisting of draw textured yarn, spin draw yarn, fully oriented yarn, partially oriented yarn, polyester staple fiber, PET resin, polyester film, polyester release film, woven fabric, and knitting fabric. Further, the company provides HV/LV switchgears, cast resin transformers, vacuum contactor switchgears, molds, rollers, and screws and barrels. Its products are used in household items, outdoor sports, transport materials, building materials, coatings, 3C appliances, civil farm, industrial equipment, and other applications. Nan Ya Plastics Corporation was incorporated in 1958 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303) currently trades at 238.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 364.00 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 34.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 15 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Scenario range: 330.01 TWD (bear) to 473.35 TWD (bull), the price of 238.00 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Nan Ya Plastics Corp reported revenue of 260B TWD in FY2025 versus 412B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was 4.5B TWD in FY2025, compounding −51.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.9T TWD (≈ $59.3B) · P/E ratio 425.0 · P/S ratio 7.39 · EPS (TTM) 0.5600 TWD · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 517% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 53%, 1303 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (1.87 TWD to 30.12 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 330.01 TWD Fair Value 364.00 TWD Bull 473.35 TWD
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 31.58 TWD 30.12 TWD 23.08 TWD 76
Owner Earnings 19.68 TWD 29.52 TWD 48.82 TWD 75
Gordon GGM 6.75 TWD 7.42 TWD 8.45 TWD 69
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 19.68 TWD 29.52 TWD 48.82 TWD 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.87 TWD 5.10 TWD 5.86 TWD 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 6.75 TWD 7.42 TWD 8.45 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 6.75 TWD 8.73 TWD 11.52 TWD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 7.26 TWD 9.69 TWD 12.11 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 7.26 TWD 9.69 TWD 12.11 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 7.26 TWD 9.69 TWD 12.11 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 0.7100 TWD 2.34 TWD 3.97 TWD 60
EV/EBITDA 20.60 TWD 28.86 TWD 37.13 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 0.0500 TWD 1.87 TWD 3.69 TWD 46
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.42 TWD 30.05 TWD 44.85 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 31.58 TWD 30.12 TWD 23.08 TWD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.18 TWD 7.39 TWD 9.61 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 22/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.9%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.4% a year
Revenue growth 25 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−29.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−29% vs −19%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 706 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +53% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.22× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 425.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 5.31× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 7.18× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 64.2× · Priciest 25%
PEG 6.46× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)23 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)20 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)7 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $464.91 $441.28 −5%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $328.35 $148.97 −55%
Ecolab Inc ECL $276.22 $96.18 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $287.86 $122.14 −58%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,464 CHF 1,523 −56%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.66 ¥68.03 −4%
Sika AG SIKA CHF 188.90 CHF 98.89 −48%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,449 ₹1,479 −40%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $107.77 $77.06 −28%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 91.50 CHF 29.27 −68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 364.00 TWD versus a price of 238.00 TWD, about +53% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1303?
Our model-based fair value for Nan Ya Plastics Corp is 364.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 238.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1303?
Nan Ya Plastics Corp has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 364.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 330.01 TWD, optimistic scenario 473.35 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nan Ya Plastics Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 364.00 TWD, about +53% upside versus a price of 238.00 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 330.01 TWD, optimistic scenario 473.35 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
Nan Ya Plastics Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 263B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Nan Ya Plastics Corp pay a dividend?
Nan Ya Plastics Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.34% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nan Ya Plastics Corp it is 364.00 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 238.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nan Ya Plastics Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1303 trades below its calculated fair value: price 238.00 TWD, fair value 364.00 TWD, a gap of about +53% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1303?
No. The price is what the market pays today (238.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (364.00 TWD). For Nan Ya Plastics Corp the two are 126.00 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nan Ya Plastics Corp worth?
The market values Nan Ya Plastics Corp at about 1.9T TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 238.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 364.00 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1303?
Our models span a range for Nan Ya Plastics Corp: cautious scenario 330.01 TWD, base 364.00 TWD, optimistic 473.35 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 238.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1303?
Nan Ya Plastics Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 425.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 364.00 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 6.5, P/B 5.3, P/S 7.2, EV/EBITDA 64.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 1303?
The PEG ratio of Nan Ya Plastics Corp is 6.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nan Ya Plastics Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.1%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1303 from its 52-week high?
Nan Ya Plastics Corp trades at 238.00 TWD, about 2% below its 52-week high of 244.00 TWD and 517% above the low of 38.55 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 364.00 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nan Ya Plastics Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nan Ya Plastics Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 238.00 TWD, calculated fair value 364.00 TWD (+53%), Quality Score 53/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1303 calculated?
We run Nan Ya Plastics Corp through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 364.00 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Nan Ya Plastics Corp currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 238.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 364.00 TWD, about +53% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nan Ya Plastics Corp right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (330.01 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303) come from?
Earnings per share at Nan Ya Plastics Corp grew −20.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.6 %, EBIT margin −18.2 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Nan Ya Plastics Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
The market capitalisation of Nan Ya Plastics Corp is 1.9T TWD (≈ $59.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nan Ya Plastics Corp is 7.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
Earnings per share at Nan Ya Plastics Corp are 0.5600 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 425.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
The dividend yield of Nan Ya Plastics Corp is 0.3% (payout 143%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
The net margin of Nan Ya Plastics Corp is 1.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nan Ya Plastics Corp is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nan Ya Plastics Corp is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
The operating margin of Nan Ya Plastics Corp is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
Revenue at Nan Ya Plastics Corp is growing +4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303)?
Earnings per share at Nan Ya Plastics Corp are growing +30.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303) generate?
The free cash flow of Nan Ya Plastics Corp is −2.7B TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303) carry?
The net debt of Nan Ya Plastics Corp is 127B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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