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Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. (688779) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 16.7B CNY

MN Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. 688779 · SHG
Price¥7.89
Fair Value¥2.71
Upside-65.7%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.51 – ¥2.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +0.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥31.14 ¥4.28 Fair Value ¥2.71 Aug 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.28 – ¥31.14 · fair‑value band ¥1.51 – ¥2.71 · the ¥7.89 price screens above the ¥2.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. (688779) currently trades at ¥7.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.71, implying the stock looks roughly 65.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. generated revenue of 10.9B CNY at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 113.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at 523M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.51 (bear case) to ¥2.71 (bull case); at ¥7.89, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -66%, 688779 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.6000 ¥1.36 ¥2.88 80
Residual Income ¥2.73 ¥2.66 ¥2.27 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.3000 ¥0.8400 ¥1.69 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.6600 ¥1.19 ¥2.89 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.63 ¥8.61 ¥19.06 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.3000 ¥0.7000 ¥1.50 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.74 ¥3.66 ¥7.37 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.35 ¥3.51 ¥6.43 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.3900 ¥1.04 ¥1.53 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.44 ¥4.00 ¥8.94 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.17 ¥3.21 ¥6.90 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.8000 ¥5.61 ¥7.87 54
Lynch FV ¥1.94 ¥2.76 ¥3.59 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.94 ¥2.76 ¥3.59 46
EPV ¥0.1100 ¥0.1800 ¥0.2300 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.86 ¥2.48 ¥3.10 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.51 ¥2.01 ¥2.51 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.51 ¥2.01 ¥2.51 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.3000 ¥0.4900 ¥0.6800 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.11 ¥2.90 ¥3.69 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.1400 ¥0.3100 ¥0.4900 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.88 ¥2.52 ¥3.76 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.6000 ¥1.36 ¥2.88 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.3000 ¥0.8400 ¥1.69 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.73 ¥2.66 ¥2.27 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.1100 ¥0.1800 ¥0.2300 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.53 ¥3.61 ¥4.70 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥3.61) versus Economic Profit (¥0.1800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 10.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +114%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow 107M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 45.6
More key figures
Operating margin 6.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1900
EPS growth (YoY) +244%
Net debt 523M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. is involved in the research, production, and sale of battery materials. The company offers multi-material precursors, multi-material positive electrode materials, multi-component cathode materials, lithium iron phosphate, lithium cobalt oxide and other lithium battery cathode materials, and nickel-metal hydride …

Full company description

Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. is involved in the research, production, and sale of battery materials. The company offers multi-material precursors, multi-material positive electrode materials, multi-component cathode materials, lithium iron phosphate, lithium cobalt oxide and other lithium battery cathode materials, and nickel-metal hydride battery cathode materials. It also offers processing services. The company was formerly known as Hunan Changyuan Lico Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. in August 2025. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Changsha, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. reported revenue of ¥9.3B in FY2025 versus ¥6.8B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥228M in FY2025, compounding −24.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
9.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+68.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−19.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+36.0%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+23.9%
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 ¥6.8B
FY22 ¥18.0B
FY23 ¥10.7B
FY24 ¥5.5B
FY25 ¥9.3B
Net income −24.5%/yr
FY21 ¥701M
FY22 ¥1.5B
FY23 −¥124M
FY24 −¥508M
FY25 ¥228M

688779 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688779

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −66% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 114% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.45× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.30× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.53× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 23.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 21 · sector 26
HEALTH 77 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

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WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. (688779) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.71 versus a price of ¥7.89, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688779?
Our model-based fair value for Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. is ¥2.71 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.89.
What is the quality score of 688779?
Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. (688779)?
Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688779?
The net profit margin of Minmetals New Energy Materials(Hunan)Co.,Ltd. is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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