Caely Holdings Bhd (7154) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Caely Holdings Bhd MYR 0.03, price MYR 0.03, upside -12.3%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Nexg Bina Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells ladies undergarment and constructs and develops commercial and residential projects in Malaysia. It operates through Property Development, Manufacturing Sales, Direct Selling/Retail, and Investment Holding segments.
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Nexg Bina Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells ladies undergarment and constructs and develops commercial and residential projects in Malaysia. It operates through Property Development, Manufacturing Sales, Direct Selling/Retail, and Investment Holding segments. The company manufactures undergarments under original equipment manufacturer arrangements, as well as under its own brand for direct selling and retail business. In addition, it engages in the development of residential and commercial properties, as well as sells garments, leather goods, sportswear, and household products; retails undergarments and garments; and trades in goods, fabric face masks, personal protective equipment, and medical products. The company exports its products under the foreign OEM brands, such as Viania Dessous, George Walmart, Claire France, Breezies, Lilianne Lingerie, and LC Waikiki. Further, it supplies and sells various garments, clothes, scarf, pharmaceutical products, cosmetic, skincare, and personal care products online. The company exports its products to Germany, the United States, Canada, Turkey, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Classita Holdings Berhad and changed its name to Nexg Bina Berhad in September 2025. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Teluk Intan, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Caely Holdings Bhd (7154) currently trades at 0.0300 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0263 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 14.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.1000 MYR per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the 0.0300 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0100 MYR, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0238 MYR (bear) to 0.0288 MYR (bull), the price of 0.0300 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Caely Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 59.4M MYR in FY2025 versus 57.5M MYR in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 37.0M MYR (≈ $9.1M) · P/S ratio 0.71 · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity −1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.1% · Operating margin −9.8% · Revenue (TTM) 52.3M MYR · Revenue growth (YoY) −32.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −12%, 7154 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0238 MYRFair Value 0.0263 MYRBull 0.0288 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−37.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−37.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−10% → −7%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 34.5%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−15.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −17.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Manufacturing · 228 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−12% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−10% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−32% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Caely Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/7154
Frequently asked questions
Is Caely Holdings Bhd (7154) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0263 MYR versus a price of 0.0300 MYR, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 7154?
Our model-based fair value for Caely Holdings Bhd is 0.0263 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.0300 MYR.
What is the quality score of 7154?
Caely Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0263 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0238 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.0288 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Caely Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0263 MYR, about −12% upside versus a price of 0.0300 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0238 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.0288 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
Caely Holdings Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 52.3M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Caely Holdings Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by -15.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 7154 use?
Our models discount Caely Holdings Bhd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Caely Holdings Bhd that is -15.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Caely Holdings Bhd (7154) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Caely Holdings Bhd grew -3.1 % a year. The price currently implies -15.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Caely Holdings Bhd (-15.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.92 %: that much free cash flow Caely Holdings Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Caely Holdings Bhd it is 0.0263 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 0.0300 MYR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Caely Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 7154 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.0300 MYR, fair value 0.0263 MYR, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 7154?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0300 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0263 MYR). For Caely Holdings Bhd the two are 0.0037 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Caely Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values Caely Holdings Bhd at about 37.0M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 0.0300 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0263 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 7154?
Our models span a range for Caely Holdings Bhd: cautious scenario 0.0238 MYR, base 0.0263 MYR, optimistic 0.0288 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 0.0300 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
Balance-sheet figures for Caely Holdings Bhd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −1.7%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 7154 from its 52-week high?
Caely Holdings Bhd trades at 0.0300 MYR, about 70% below its 52-week high of 0.1000 MYR and 50% above the low of 0.0200 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0263 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Caely Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Ralph Lauren Corporation, Moncler S.p.A, Gildan Activewear Inc, LPP SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Caely Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 0.0300 MYR, calculated fair value 0.0263 MYR (−12%), Quality Score 38/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 7154 calculated?
We run Caely Holdings Bhd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0263 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Caely Holdings Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.0300 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.0263 MYR, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Caely Holdings Bhd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0288 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Caely Holdings Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
The market capitalisation of Caely Holdings Bhd is 37.0M MYR (≈ $9.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Caely Holdings Bhd is 0.71 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
The net margin of Caely Holdings Bhd is 1.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Caely Holdings Bhd is −1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Caely Holdings Bhd is −5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
The operating margin of Caely Holdings Bhd is −9.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
Revenue at Caely Holdings Bhd is growing −32.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Caely Holdings Bhd (7154)?
Earnings per share at Caely Holdings Bhd are growing +10.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Caely Holdings Bhd (7154) carry?
The net debt of Caely Holdings Bhd is 2.0M MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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