Moncler S.p.A (MONC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €14.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −0.4% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from €38.02 (bear) to €63.36 (bull), base €50.69. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €33.95 – €65.64 · fair‑value band €38.02 – €63.36 · the €51.08 price screens above the €50.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Moncler S.p.A (MONC) currently trades at €51.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €50.69, implying the stock looks roughly 0.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Moncler S.p.A generated revenue of €3.1B at a net margin of 20.0%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €318M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €38.02 (bear case) to €63.36 (bull case); at €51.08, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -1%, MONC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€66.11) versus Asset-Based (€9.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Moncler S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of garments, children's clothing, footwear, eyewear and other related accessories under the Moncler and Stone Island brands. It also provides leather goods; bags, backpacks, and accessories; and glasses.
Full company description
Moncler S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of garments, children's clothing, footwear, eyewear and other related accessories under the Moncler and Stone Island brands. It also provides leather goods; bags, backpacks, and accessories; and glasses. The company operates through directly operated stores, e-concessions, multi-brand sales outlets, shop-in-shops in luxury department stores, airport locations, and online luxury multi-brand retailers. It also sells its products through moncler.com, an online store. It operates in Italy, rest of Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. Moncler S.p.A. was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Moncler S.p.A reported revenue of €3.1B in FY2025 versus €2.0B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was €627M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Moncler SpA (MONRF) H1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic Expansion
- How Subtle Analyst Shifts Are Reframing The Moncler (BIT:MONC) Investment Story
Peer Group
Apparel Manufacturing · 211 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB | kr 163.45 | kr 165.47 | +1% |
| Ralph Lauren Corporation RL | $374.08 | $224.21 | -40% |
| Gildan Activewear Inc GIL | C$73.17 | C$32.85 | -55% |
| LPP SA LPP | 19,380 PLN | 17,754 PLN | -8% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$4.88 | HK$5.92 | +21% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥7.57 | ¥5.59 | -26% |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹39,900 | ₹12,395 | -69% |
| Hla Group 600398 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.92 | +76% |
| Eclat Textile Co 1476 | 333.50 TWD | 357.81 TWD | +7% |
| Youngone Corporation 111770 | 87,600 KRW | 196,629 KRW | +124% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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