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Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd (8169) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$24.7M

ET Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd 8169 · HK
PriceHK$0.0360
Fair ValueHK$0.0410
Upside+13.9%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0338 – HK$0.0446 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −5.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Our model range runs from HK$0.0338 (bear) to HK$0.0446 (bull), base HK$0.0410. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.0980 HK$0.0260 Fair Value HK$0.0410 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0260 – HK$0.0980 · fair‑value band HK$0.0338 – HK$0.0446 · the HK$0.0360 price screens below the HK$0.0410 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd (8169) currently trades at HK$0.0360, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0410, implying the stock looks roughly 13.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$113M at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 53.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$11.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0338 (bear case) to HK$0.0446 (bull case); at HK$0.0360, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 14%, 8169 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 80
Gordon GGM HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 61
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 80

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.1100) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$113M
Revenue growth (YoY) +53.7%
Net margin 0.2%
Return on equity 0.2%
Free cash flow HK$704K FY2025
Operating margin 7.4%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +1,730%
Net cash HK$11.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Eco-Tek Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, marketing, sale, and servicing of environmental protection related products and services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Environment-Friendly Products Business and Water Supply Plant Business.

Full company description

Eco-Tek Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, marketing, sale, and servicing of environmental protection related products and services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Environment-Friendly Products Business and Water Supply Plant Business. The company sells general and industrial environment-friendly products, components, and other related accessories; and owns and operates water supply plant, as well as supplies processed water. It is also involved in holding of intellectual properties. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong. Eco-Tek Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Team Drive Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$90.6M in FY2025 versus HK$119M in FY2021, a compound −6.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$2.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$90.6M
Latest YoY
−4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.5%
Revenue −6.5%/yr
FY21 HK$119M
FY22 HK$97.6M
FY23 HK$102M
FY24 HK$94.6M
FY25 HK$90.6M
Net income
FY21 HK$5.1M
FY22 HK$4.4M
FY23 HK$5.6M
FY24 −HK$1.8M
FY25 −HK$2.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8169

Peer Group

Pollution & Treatment Controls · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +11% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 54% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 48 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 7
PAST 1 · sector 16
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veralto Corporation VLTO $97.97 $67.62 -31%
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation ZWS $51.02 $24.92 -51%
Canmax Technologies Co 300390 ¥64.05 ¥10.07 -84%
CECO Environmental Corp CECO $79.59 $15.19 -81%
Fujian Longking Co 600388 ¥18.10 ¥15.59 -14%
Munters Group MTRS kr 183.90 kr 48.58 -74%
China Conch Venture Holdings 0586 HK$8.69 HK$10.70 +23%
Mega Union Technology Inc 6944 747.00 TWD 539.58 TWD -28%
MayAir Technology (China) Co 688376 ¥71.82 ¥18.80 -74%
Jingjin Equipment Inc 603279 ¥12.75 ¥18.97 +49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd (8169) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0410 versus a price of HK$0.0360, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8169?
Our model-based fair value for Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0410 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0360.
What is the quality score of 8169?
Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd (8169)?
Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$113M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8169?
The net profit margin of Eco-Tek Holdings Ltd is about 0.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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