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8169 (8169) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$24.7M

8 8169 8169 · HK
PriceHK$0.0380
Fair ValueHK$0.0426
Upside+12.0%
Quality55/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0388 – HK$0.0464

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated today

Share price −5.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.0440 HK$0.0290 Fair Value HK$0.0426 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.0290 – HK$0.0440 · fair‑value band HK$0.0388 – HK$0.0464 · the HK$0.0380 price screens below the HK$0.0426 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

8169 (8169) currently trades at HK$0.0380, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0426 — implying the stock looks roughly 12.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 8169 generated revenue of HK$113M at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 53.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$11.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$113M
Revenue growth (YoY) +53.7%
Net margin 0.2%
Return on equity 0.2%
Free cash flow HK$704K FY2025
Operating margin 7.4%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +1,730%
Net cash HK$11.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8169 reported revenue of HK$90.6M in FY2025 versus HK$119M in FY2021, a compound −6.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$2.9M in FY2025.

Revenue −6.5%/yr
FY21 HK$119M
FY22 HK$97.6M
FY23 HK$102M
FY24 HK$94.6M
FY25 HK$90.6M
Net income
FY21 HK$5.1M
FY22 HK$4.4M
FY23 HK$5.6M
FY24 −HK$1.8M
FY25 −HK$2.9M

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8169 (8169) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0426 versus a price of HK$0.0380 — about +12% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8169?
Our model-based fair value for 8169 is HK$0.0426 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0380.
What is the quality score of 8169?
8169 has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 8169 (8169)?
8169 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$113M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8169?
The net profit margin of 8169 is about 0.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.