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Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · SA · ISIN SA11T053VL18

AE Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC

8170 · SR

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

Fair value 9.25 SAR · Undervalued (+18%)
!Quality 42/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -22.8% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

23.49 SAR 5.78 SAR Fair Value 9.25 SAR May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.78 SAR – 23.49 SAR · fair‑value band 4.92 SAR – 13.23 SAR · the 7.84 SAR price screens below the 9.25 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Al-Etihad Cooperative Insurance Company engages in insurance operations in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers non-life insurance to individuals and businesses, such as medical, motor, engineering, property and casualty, general accident, marine, and other products.

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Al-Etihad Cooperative Insurance Company engages in insurance operations in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers non-life insurance to individuals and businesses, such as medical, motor, engineering, property and casualty, general accident, marine, and other products. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Dhahran, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170) currently trades at 7.84 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.25 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 15.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 7.67 SAR per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the 7.84 SAR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 6.02 SAR, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 4.92 SAR (bear) to 13.23 SAR (bull), the price of 7.84 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC reported revenue of 1.2B SAR in FY2025 versus 796M SAR in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was −244M SAR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 392M SAR (≈ $104M) · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) −5.44 SAR · Dividend yield 8.7% · Net margin −20.5% · Return on equity −48.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% · Operating margin −11.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 18%, 8170 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 4.92 SAR Fair Value 9.25 SAR Bull 13.23 SAR
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 4.66 SAR 8.40 SAR 11.56 SAR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 4.66 SAR 7.67 SAR 8.97 SAR 65
NCAV (Graham) 4.50 SAR 6.02 SAR 8.99 SAR 51
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 4.66 SAR 8.40 SAR 11.56 SAR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 4.66 SAR 7.67 SAR 8.97 SAR 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.50 SAR 6.02 SAR 8.99 SAR 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.8%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
Revenue growth 19 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.8% (2020) → −19.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC with another stock

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Diversified · 83 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −13% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −23% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.20× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)57 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)13 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 49
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 73

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB80 1.67 THB 1.48 THB −11%
Allianz SE ALV €442.30 €242.44 −45%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURN CHF 588.20 CHF 336.00 −43%
AXA SA CS €43.19 €39.76 −8%
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G €45.08 €10.92 −76%
Sun Life Financial Inc SLF C$110.55 C$57.05 −48%
American International Group AIG $75.33 $70.37 −7%
The Hartford Insurance Group HIG $136.36 $133.10 −2%
Arch Capital Group ACGL $96.09 $124.45 +30%
Swiss Life Holding SLHN CHF 912.80 CHF 413.93 −55%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8170

Frequently asked questions

Is Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.25 SAR versus a price of 7.84 SAR, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8170?
Our model-based fair value for Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is 9.25 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.84 SAR.
What is the quality score of 8170?
Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.25 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.92 SAR, optimistic scenario 13.23 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.25 SAR, about +18% upside versus a price of 7.84 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 4.92 SAR, optimistic scenario 13.23 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC pay a dividend?
Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC it is 9.25 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 7.84 SAR. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 8170 trades below its calculated fair value: price 7.84 SAR, fair value 9.25 SAR, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8170?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.84 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.25 SAR). For Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC the two are 1.41 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC worth?
The market values Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC at about 392M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 7.84 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 9.25 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8170?
Our models span a range for Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC: cautious scenario 4.92 SAR, base 9.25 SAR, optimistic 13.23 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 7.84 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −48.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8170 from its 52-week high?
Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC trades at 7.84 SAR, about 38% below its 52-week high of 12.60 SAR and 38% above the low of 5.68 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9.25 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Berkshire Hathaway Inc, Allianz SE, Zurich Insurance Group, AXA SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 7.84 SAR, calculated fair value 9.25 SAR (+18%), Quality Score 42/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8170 calculated?
We run Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9.25 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC right now?
The model range is unusually wide (4.92 SAR to 13.23 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170) come from?
Earnings per share at Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC grew +7.5 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.1 %, EBIT margin +3.1 %, tax rate −1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC

How large is the market capitalisation of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
The market capitalisation of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is 392M SAR (≈ $104M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
Earnings per share at Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC are −5.44 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
The dividend yield of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is 8.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
The net margin of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is −20.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is −48.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
The operating margin of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is −11.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
Revenue at Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170)?
Earnings per share at Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC are growing −50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170) generate?
The free cash flow of Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC is −237M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC (8170) hold?
Al Etihad Cooperative Insurance Co SJSC holds more cash than debt, 91.7M SAR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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