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Xiaomi Corporation (81810) Fair Value & Analysis

HK · Market cap HK$801B

XC Xiaomi Corporation 81810 · HK
PriceHK$19.50
Fair ValueHK$22.49
Upside+15.3%
Quality43/100
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Evidence: High Range HK$13.33 – HK$29.41

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price −7.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$48.62 HK$16.50 Fair Value HK$22.49 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$16.50 – HK$48.62 · fair‑value band HK$13.33 – HK$29.41 · the HK$19.50 price screens below the HK$22.49 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Xiaomi Corporation (81810) currently trades at HK$19.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$22.49 — implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality). Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Xiaomi Corporation generated revenue of HK$445B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at HK$4.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$13.33 (bear case) to HK$29.41 (bull case); at HK$19.50, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$445B
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.9%
Net margin 8.0%
Return on equity 14.0%
Free cash flow HK$21.4B FY2025
Operating margin 4.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$1.32
EPS growth (YoY) -58.1%
Net debt HK$4.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments. The company also offers internet of things (IoT) and lifestyle products comprising smart large home appliances, smart TVs, tablets, wearables and other IoT and lifestyle products; hardware repairment services for products; installation services for certain IoT products; and sale of materials. In addition, it provides internet services, such as advertising, online game, and fintech services; and development, manufacture, and sales of smart electric vehicles. Further, the company in the wholesale and retail of smartphones and ecosystem partners' products; investment activities; sales of smart hardware; software and hardware development; procurement and sales of smartphones, ecosystem partners' products and spare parts, and raw …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xiaomi Corporation reported revenue of HK$457B in FY2025 versus HK$328B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$41.6B in FY2025, compounding +21.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 HK$328B
FY22 HK$280B
FY23 HK$271B
FY24 HK$366B
FY25 HK$457B
Net income +21.1%/yr
FY21 HK$19.3B
FY22 HK$2.5B
FY23 HK$17.5B
FY24 HK$23.7B
FY25 HK$41.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xiaomi Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/81810

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xiaomi Corporation (81810) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$22.49 versus a price of HK$19.50 — about +15% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 81810?
Our model-based fair value for Xiaomi Corporation is HK$22.49 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$19.50.
What is the quality score of 81810?
Xiaomi Corporation has a Quality Score of 43/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Xiaomi Corporation (81810)?
Xiaomi Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$445B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 81810?
The net profit margin of Xiaomi Corporation is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.