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Xiaomi Corporation (81810) Fair Value & Analysis

Information Technology · HK · Market cap HK$801B

XC Xiaomi Corporation 81810 · HK
PriceHK$24.46
Fair ValueHK$22.38
Upside-8.5%
Quality52/100
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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/12)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
!Moderate moat 46/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.2 %/yr)
Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/12)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range HK$14.49 – HK$28.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from HK$22.44 to HK$22.38 (−0.3%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$14.49 to HK$28.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

HK$54.80 HK$9.20 Fair Value HK$22.38 Jun 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

38‑month range HK$9.20 – HK$54.80 · fair‑value band HK$14.49 – HK$28.32 · the HK$24.46 price screens above the HK$22.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Xiaomi Corporation (81810) currently trades at HK$24.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$22.38, implying the stock looks roughly 8.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Information Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xiaomi Corporation generated revenue of HK$445B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at HK$4.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$14.49 (bear case) to HK$28.32 (bull case); at HK$24.46, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Information Technology peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -9%, 81810 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$11.03 HK$21.68 HK$43.31 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$13.80 HK$28.41 HK$50.61 74
ROIC Compounder HK$15.79 HK$24.45 HK$31.00 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$11.57 HK$19.22 HK$42.55 38
Owner Earnings HK$19.55 HK$45.22 HK$101.51 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$13.80 HK$26.30 HK$51.15 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$20.44 HK$40.51 HK$77.86 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$22.89 HK$51.33 HK$88.85 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$12.63 HK$28.46 HK$46.30 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$18.03 HK$41.65 HK$86.84 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$19.80 HK$46.50 HK$94.54 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$8.64 HK$60.28 HK$84.59 54
Lynch FV HK$18.71 HK$26.73 HK$34.75 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$18.71 HK$26.73 HK$34.75 46
EPV HK$12.59 HK$14.73 HK$16.64 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$26.69 HK$35.59 HK$44.49 63
P/S Multiple HK$16.21 HK$21.61 HK$27.01 58
P/B Multiple HK$16.21 HK$21.61 HK$27.01 55
EV/EBIT HK$26.75 HK$35.52 HK$44.30 53
EV/EBITDA HK$23.78 HK$31.56 HK$39.34 54
EV/Revenue HK$13.74 HK$19.44 HK$25.14 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.06 HK$5.45 HK$8.13 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$11.03 HK$21.68 HK$43.31 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$13.80 HK$28.41 HK$50.61 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$8.79 HK$11.63 HK$37.73 61
ROIC Compounder HK$15.79 HK$24.45 HK$31.00 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$28.75 HK$41.07 HK$53.39 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$41.07) versus Asset-Based (HK$5.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.80 TTM
Net margin 8.0% TTM
Return on equity 14.0% TTM
Return on assets 3.5% TTM
Operating margin 4.5% TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$1.32
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$445B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.9% 3y avg +17.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -58.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$21.4B FY2025
Net debt HK$4.6B FY2025 · ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 49
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments.

Full company description

Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments. The company also offers internet of things (IoT) and lifestyle products comprising smart large home appliances, smart TVs, tablets, wearables and other IoT and lifestyle products; hardware repairment services for products; installation services for certain IoT products; and sale of materials. In addition, it provides internet services, such as advertising, online game, and fintech services; and development, manufacture, and sales of smart electric vehicles. Further, the company in the wholesale and retail of smartphones and ecosystem partners' products; investment activities; sales of smart hardware; software and hardware development; procurement and sales of smartphones, ecosystem partners' products and spare parts, and raw materials; operation of retail stores; and commercial factoring and e-commerce business. Additionally, it provides intra-group capital supervision, collection, remittance, credit guarantee, and interest rate risk management; customer; software related; promotion; electronic payment technology; and technical services. Xiaomi Corporation was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xiaomi Corporation reported revenue of HK$457B in FY2025 versus HK$328B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$41.6B in FY2025, compounding +21.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$457B
Latest YoY
+25.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+15.5% (15.5 + 0.0)
Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 HK$328B
FY22 HK$280B
FY23 HK$271B
FY24 HK$366B
FY25 HK$457B
Net income +21.1%/yr
FY21 HK$19.3B
FY22 HK$2.5B
FY23 HK$17.5B
FY24 HK$23.7B
FY25 HK$41.6B

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Xiaomi Corporation · Fair Value
HK$22.38 −9%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xiaomi Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/81810

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Consumer Electronics · 130 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside +56% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth -11% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.38× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 7
FUTURE0 · sector 9
PAST56 · sector 15
HEALTH97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

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Huaqin Co 603296 ¥79.02 ¥39.69 -50%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥22.11 ¥21.02 -5%
LG Corp 003550 113,700 KRW 89,984 KRW -21%
Shenzhen Transsion Holdings 688036 ¥58.89 ¥56.82 -4%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866 ¥118.42 ¥78.13 -34%
Dixon Technologies (India) Limited DIXON ₹14,495 ₹4,022 -72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xiaomi Corporation (81810) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$22.38 versus a price of HK$24.46, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 81810?
Our model-based fair value for Xiaomi Corporation is HK$22.38 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$24.46.
What is the quality score of 81810?
Xiaomi Corporation has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xiaomi Corporation (81810)?
Xiaomi Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$445B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 81810?
The net profit margin of Xiaomi Corporation is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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