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Huaqin Co (603296) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 119B CNY

HC Huaqin Co 603296 · SHG
Price¥81.23
Fair Value¥65.69
Upside-19.1%
Quality50/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.10% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ¥48.36 – ¥83.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from ¥67.86 to ¥65.69 (−3.2%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +14.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥48.36 (bear) to ¥83.03 (bull), base ¥65.69. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥88.19 ¥25.74 Fair Value ¥65.69 Aug 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range ¥25.74 – ¥88.19 · fair‑value band ¥48.36 – ¥83.03 · the ¥81.23 price screens above the ¥65.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Huaqin Co (603296) currently trades at ¥81.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥65.69, implying the stock looks roughly 19.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Huaqin Co generated revenue of 177B CNY at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. Net debt stands at 5.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥48.36 (bear case) to ¥83.03 (bull case); at ¥81.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -19%, 603296 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥18.93 ¥24.97 ¥74.28 76
ROIC Compounder ¥35.96 ¥52.06 ¥62.05 72
Gordon GGM ¥8.32 ¥17.30 ¥27.45 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥30.96 ¥62.16 ¥127.66 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥19.39 ¥135.21 ¥189.75 54
Lynch FV ¥58.12 ¥83.03 ¥107.94 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥58.12 ¥83.03 ¥107.94 46
EPV ¥28.24 ¥31.86 ¥35.03 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥8.32 ¥17.30 ¥27.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.32 ¥14.59 ¥18.16 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥42.77 ¥57.02 ¥71.28 63
P/S Multiple ¥36.35 ¥48.47 ¥60.59 58
P/B Multiple ¥36.35 ¥48.47 ¥60.59 55
EV/EBIT ¥45.50 ¥58.50 ¥71.50 53
EV/EBITDA ¥45.59 ¥58.62 ¥71.65 54
EV/Revenue ¥32.79 ¥44.06 ¥55.32 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥9.07 ¥12.16 ¥18.14 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥18.93 ¥24.97 ¥74.28 76
ROIC Compounder ¥35.96 ¥52.06 ¥62.05 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥70.60 ¥100.86 ¥131.11 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥100.86) versus Asset-Based (¥12.16). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 177B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.4%
Net margin 2.4%
Return on equity 17.0%
Free cash flow −3.7B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 25.5
More key figures
Operating margin 2.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥4.22
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +25.3%
Net debt 5.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huaqin Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, manufacturing, and operation services of intelligent products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Huaqin Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, manufacturing, and operation services of intelligent products in China and internationally. The company offers personal electronics, including smart phones, tablets, and laptops; smart wearables; VR and AR, smart speaker, smart door lock, and TV; automotive electronics comprising intelligent cabin, connection, driving, and vehicle control; commercial devices which include POS, mobile data collection terminals, intelligent door locks, intelligent speakers, smart office, industrial webcams, and edge computing; and general purpose servers, network switches, heterogeneous servers, and edge servers, as well as digital scenes. It caters to global technology companies and the consumer electronics industry. The company sells its products through direct sales force, distributors, and global brand customers. Huaqin Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Huaqin Technology Co.ltd. and changed its name to Huaqin Co., Ltd. in December 2020. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huaqin Co reported revenue of ¥171B in FY2025 versus ¥83.8B in FY2021, a compound +19.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.1B in FY2025, compounding +21.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
171B CNY
Latest YoY
+56.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+22.8%
Revenue +19.6%/yr
FY21 ¥83.8B
FY22 ¥92.6B
FY23 ¥85.3B
FY24 ¥110B
FY25 ¥171B
Net income +21.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.9B
FY22 ¥2.6B
FY23 ¥2.7B
FY24 ¥2.9B
FY25 ¥4.1B

603296 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Apple Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huaqin Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603296

Peer Group

Consumer Electronics · 129 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 22.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 8 · sector 7
FUTURE 82 · sector 13
PAST 68 · sector 10
HEALTH 91 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 29

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Apple Inc AAPL $314.86 $122.91 -61%
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 255,000 KRW 138,019 KRW -46%
Sony Group SONYN 366.00 MXN 468.94 MXN +28%
Xiaomi Corporation 1810 HK$26.88 HK$39.84 +48%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 179,000 KRW 101,531 KRW -43%
Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 ¥277.96 ¥35.89 -87%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥22.25 ¥18.86 -15%
LG Corp 003550 102,400 KRW 93,881 KRW -8%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866 ¥105.92 ¥78.52 -26%
Shenzhen Transsion Holdings 688036 ¥68.50 ¥44.90 -34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huaqin Co (603296) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥65.69 versus a price of ¥81.23, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603296?
Our model-based fair value for Huaqin Co is ¥65.69 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥81.23.
What is the quality score of 603296?
Huaqin Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huaqin Co (603296)?
Huaqin Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 177B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603296?
The net profit margin of Huaqin Co is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huaqin Co pay a dividend?
Huaqin Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.05% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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