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Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.40, price HK$1.60, upside -75.0%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG4R39W1185

GT Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd

8516 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.3995 · Strongly overvalued (−75.0%)
!Quality 29/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.3% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 4/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$42.84 HK$0.5169 Fair Value HK$0.3995 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.5169 – HK$42.84 · fair‑value band HK$0.2635 – HK$0.5015 · the HK$1.60 price screens above the HK$0.3995 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhong Ying International Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of civil engineering construction works of road and highway related infrastructures in Hong Kong. The company operates through Civil Engineering Construction Works and Repair and Maintenance Works segments.

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Zhong Ying International Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of civil engineering construction works of road and highway related infrastructures in Hong Kong. The company operates through Civil Engineering Construction Works and Repair and Maintenance Works segments. It also undertakes repair and maintenance works for structures of roads and highways, and other infrastructures, such as construction of pavilion, drainage systems, and seawall; and construction projects for barrier-free access facilities and drainage systems. The company was formerly known as Grand Talents Group Holdings Limited and change its name to Zhong Ying International Group Limited in January 2026. The company was founded in 2010 and is based in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516) currently trades at HK$1.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3995, 75.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2635 (bear) to HK$0.5015 (bull), the price of HK$1.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$65.1M in FY2026 versus HK$42.5M in FY2022, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$6.0M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$91.5M (≈ $11.7M) · P/S ratio 1.41 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1100 · Net margin −9.3% · Return on equity −33.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −29.1% · Operating margin −0.5% · Revenue (TTM) HK$65.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 145% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −75%, 8516 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2635 Fair Value HK$0.3995 Bull HK$0.5015
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.5000 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.5000 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+85.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.1% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−65.3% (2021) → −8.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

8516 screens overvalued: fair value 75% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 802 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −75.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −9.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −0.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 250.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.18× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $649.13 $162.77 −75%
Vinci SA DG €111.30 €186.22 +67%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.20 €203.86 −49%
EMCOR Group EME $762.21 $525.05 −31%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €93.60 €62.20 −34%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.3995 −75%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8516

Frequently asked questions

Is Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3995 versus a price of HK$1.60, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8516?
Our model-based fair value for Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3995 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.60.
What is the quality score of 8516?
Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3995 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2635, optimistic scenario HK$0.5015. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3995, about −75% upside versus a price of HK$1.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2635, optimistic scenario HK$0.5015. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$65.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.3995 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$1.60. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8516 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.60, fair value HK$0.3995, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8516?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3995). For Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.20 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$91.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.60; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3995 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8516?
Our models span a range for Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2635, base HK$0.3995, optimistic HK$0.5015 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$1.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −33.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8516 from its 52-week high?
Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.60, about 16% below its 52-week high of HK$1.90 and 145% above the low of HK$0.6539 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3995 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$1.60, calculated fair value HK$0.3995 (−75%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8516 calculated?
We run Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3995, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$1.60. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3995, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5015). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2635 to HK$0.5015) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
The market capitalisation of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd is HK$91.5M (≈ $11.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd is 1.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
Earnings per share at Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.1100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
The net margin of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd is −9.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd is −33.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd is −29.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
The operating margin of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
Revenue at Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd is growing +251% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516)?
Earnings per share at Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd are growing −28.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516) generate?
The free cash flow of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd is −HK$16.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd (8516) carry?
The net debt of Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd is HK$1.9M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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