86618 (86618) Fair Value & Analysis

· Market cap 182B CNY

8 86618 86618 · HK

Price¥29.58

Fair Value¥14.85

Upside-49.8%

Quality60/100

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Evidence: Medium Range ¥11.14 – ¥18.56

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −13.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range ¥27.86 – ¥63.75 · fair‑value band ¥11.14 – ¥18.56 · the ¥29.58 price screens above the ¥14.85 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

86618 (86618) currently trades at ¥29.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.85 — implying the stock looks roughly 49.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality). Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 86618 generated revenue of 73.4B CNY at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 28.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 73.4B CNY

Revenue growth (YoY) +28.0%

Net margin 7.3%

Return on equity 9.3%

Operating margin 4.4%

EPS (TTM) ¥0.8100

More key figures

EPS growth (YoY) +29.8%

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

86618 reported revenue of ¥73.4B in FY2025 versus ¥46.7B in FY2022, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥5.4B in FY2025, compounding +141.8%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +16.3%/yr

FY22 ¥46.7B

FY23 ¥53.5B

FY24 ¥58.2B

FY25 ¥73.4B

Net income +141.8%/yr

FY22 ¥380M

FY23 ¥2.1B

FY24 ¥4.2B

FY25 ¥5.4B

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Frequently asked questions

Is 86618 (86618) undervalued?

As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.85 versus a price of ¥29.58 — about −50% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 86618?

Our model-based fair value for 86618 is ¥14.85 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥29.58.

What is the quality score of 86618?

86618 has a Quality Score of 60/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 86618 (86618)?

86618 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 86618?

The net profit margin of 86618 is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.