Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) stock MYR 0.08, price MYR 0.57, that is 86.0% below the price, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4200 MYR – 0.7500 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0500 MYR – 0.1000 MYR · the 0.5700 MYR price screens above the 0.0800 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Greater Bay Holdings Berhad manufactures and distributes flexible packaging materials in Malaysia and internationally. The company offers single and multi-layer flexible packaging materials in roll and pouch/bag forms, as well as provides management services.
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It serves a range of industries, including snack foods, instant noodles, sweets and confectionery, liquid condiments, frozen foods, spices, beverages, milk powder, edible oil, rice, medical/surgical products, pharmaceuticals, and others.
The company was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Bandar Baru Bangi, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148) currently trades at 0.5700 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0800 MYR, 86% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.2300 MYR per share, and 1 of the 20 models we run sit above the 0.5700 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0200 MYR, and 19 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0500 MYR (bear) to 0.1000 MYR (bull), the price of 0.5700 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) reported revenue of 38.0M MYR in FY2025 versus 24.2M MYR in FY2021, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was 359K MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 44.9M MYR (≈ $11.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 57.0 · P/S ratio 1.11 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 MYR · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −86%, 9148 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0100 MYR to 1.05 MYR). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear0.0500 MYRFair Value 0.0800 MYRBull0.1000 MYR
Price 0.5700 MYR · Downside -86.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0085 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−10.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10.9% vs −24.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+56.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +53.9% a year for the price.
Compare Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 260 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−86.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.1% · Below median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)17.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.45× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
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Is Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0800 MYR versus the last price from Oct 12, 2026 of 0.5700 MYR, about 86% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9148?
Our model-based fair value for Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) is 0.0800 MYR (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 12, 2026): 0.5700 MYR.
What is the quality score of 9148?
Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0800 MYR (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0500 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1000 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0800 MYR, about 86% lower versus the last price from Oct 12, 2026 of 0.5700 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0500 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1000 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 40.5M MYR (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) would have to grow free cash flow by +56.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.1 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9148 use?
Our models discount Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.03, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) that is +56.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) grew +10.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +56.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (+56.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.64 %: that much free cash flow Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) it is 0.0800 MYR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 0.5700 MYR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 9148 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.5700 MYR, fair value 0.0800 MYR, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9148?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5700 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0800 MYR). For Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) the two are 0.4900 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) worth?
The market values Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) at about 44.9M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 0.5700 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0800 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9148?
Our models span a range for Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia): cautious scenario 0.0500 MYR, base 0.0800 MYR, optimistic 0.1000 MYR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 0.5700 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9148?
Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 57.0 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.0800 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 14.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
Balance-sheet figures for Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 2.1%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9148 from its 52-week high?
Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) trades at 0.5700 MYR, about 11% below its 52-week high of 0.6400 MYR and 3% above the low of 0.5550 MYR (as of Nov 3, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0800 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia)?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 0.5700 MYR, calculated fair value 0.0800 MYR (−86%), Quality Score 58/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9148 calculated?
We run Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 0.0800 MYR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 12, 2026 and stands at 0.5700 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.0800 MYR, about 86% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1000 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.0500 MYR to 0.1000 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia)
How large is the market capitalisation of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
The market capitalisation of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) is 44.9M MYR (≈ $11.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) is 1.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) are 0.0100 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 57.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
The net margin of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) is 1.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) is −1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
The operating margin of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
Revenue at Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) is growing +17.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) are growing +98.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) (9148) carry?
The net debt of Advanced Packaging Tech (Malaysia) is 17.1M MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 59.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 4, 2026