Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range 4.33 SAR – 1,000,000 SAR · fair‑value band 1.93 SAR – 3.90 SAR · the 4.44 SAR price screens above the 2.84 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Company manufactures and sells snack food products in the Saudi Arabia. The company offers puffed corn under the Fesh Fash, Cooora, and Mini Cooora brands; potato chips under the Zizo, Fish Fash Chips, and mini sticks brand names; and potato pellets under Garameesh brand.
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Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Company manufactures and sells snack food products in the Saudi Arabia. The company offers puffed corn under the Fesh Fash, Cooora, and Mini Cooora brands; potato chips under the Zizo, Fish Fash Chips, and mini sticks brand names; and potato pellets under Garameesh brand. Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Company was founded in 1981 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) currently trades at 4.44 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.84 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 56.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3.33 SAR per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the 4.44 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.7000 SAR, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 1.93 SAR (bear) to 3.90 SAR (bull), the price of 4.44 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co reported revenue of 37.8M SAR in FY2025 versus 29.8M SAR in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding +27.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 89.8M SAR (≈ $23.9M) · P/E ratio 26.1 · P/S ratio 2.56 · EPS (TTM) 0.1700 SAR · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 9.8% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −36%, 9515 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.93 SARFair Value 2.84 SARBull 3.90 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1338 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.65/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 11%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 647 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−35% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)26.1× · Pricier than median
P/B1.15× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF8.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA3.3× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)60· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)42· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9515
Frequently asked questions
Is Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.84 SAR versus a price of 4.44 SAR, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9515?
Our model-based fair value for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 2.84 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.44 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9515?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.84 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.93 SAR, optimistic scenario 3.90 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.84 SAR, about −36% upside versus a price of 4.44 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.93 SAR, optimistic scenario 3.90 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 37.8M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co pay a dividend?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co would have to grow free cash flow by +4.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9515 use?
Our models discount Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.23, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co that is +4.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies +4.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (+4.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.71 %: that much free cash flow Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co it is 2.84 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 4.44 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9515 trades above its calculated fair value: price 4.44 SAR, fair value 2.84 SAR, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9515?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.44 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.84 SAR). For Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co the two are 1.60 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co worth?
The market values Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co at about 89.8M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 4.44 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 2.84 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9515?
Our models span a range for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co: cautious scenario 1.93 SAR, base 2.84 SAR, optimistic 3.90 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 4.44 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9515?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.1 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.84 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 14.9%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Nestlé India Limited, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 4.44 SAR, calculated fair value 2.84 SAR (−36%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9515 calculated?
We run Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.84 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.90 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (1.93 SAR to 3.90 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The market capitalisation of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 89.8M SAR (≈ $23.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 2.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Earnings per share at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co are 0.1700 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The dividend yield of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 2.1% (payout 54.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The net margin of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 9.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The operating margin of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Revenue at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is growing −1.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Earnings per share at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co are growing −12.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) hold?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co holds more cash than debt, 1.4M SAR net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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