9515 Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Market cap 97.3M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −11.4% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.90 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (1.93 SAR to 3.90 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 4.92 SAR – 1,000,000 SAR · fair‑value band 1.93 SAR – 3.90 SAR · the 4.92 SAR price screens above the 2.84 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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9515 (9515) currently trades at 4.92 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.84 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 42.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, 9515 generated revenue of 37.8M SAR at a net margin of 9.8%. Revenue declined 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.4M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.93 SAR (bear case) to 3.90 SAR (bull case); at 4.92 SAR, the current price sits above that range. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -42%, 9515 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
9515 reported revenue of 37.8M SAR in FY2025 versus 29.8M SAR in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding +27.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,386 | ₹278.10 | -80% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 75.60 TWD | 55.53 TWD | -27% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,121 | ₹1,374 | -73% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,131 | ₹339.05 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,600 IDR | 14,500 IDR | +120% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,000,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | +1% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹420.45 | ₹294.68 | -30% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,900 VND | 70,912 VND | +20% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,850 IDR | 2,719 IDR | +47% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,300 IDR | 4,821 IDR | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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