Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co stock SAR 3.33, price SAR 3.64, upside -8.5%, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3.58 SAR – 1,000,000 SAR · fair‑value band 2.29 SAR – 4.32 SAR · the 3.64 SAR price screens above the 3.33 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Company manufactures and sells snack food products in the Saudi Arabia.
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The company offers puffed corn under the Fesh Fash, Cooora, and Mini Cooora brands; potato chips under the Zizo, Fish Fash Chips, and mini sticks brand names; and potato pellets under Garameesh brand. Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Company was founded in 1981 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) currently trades at 3.64 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.33 SAR, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.3%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 3.55 SAR per share, and 5 of the 26 models we run sit above the 3.64 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.4800 SAR, and 21 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.29 SAR (bear) to 4.32 SAR (bull), the price of 3.64 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co reported revenue of 37.8M SAR in FY2025 versus 29.8M SAR in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding +27.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 72.0M SAR (≈ $19.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 21.4 · P/S ratio 1.92 · EPS (TTM) 0.1700 SAR · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 8.6% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 59 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −9%, 9515 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2.29 SARFair Value 3.33 SARBull4.32 SAR
Price 3.64 SAR · Upside -8.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1411 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.65/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 11%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.0% a year for the price.
Compare Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 626 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside−8.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets11.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)8.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)13.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−1.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9515
Frequently asked questions
Is Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.33 SAR versus a price of 3.64 SAR, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 9515?
Our model-based fair value for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 3.33 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.64 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9515?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.33 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.29 SAR, optimistic scenario 4.32 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.33 SAR, about −9% upside versus a price of 3.64 SAR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 2.29 SAR, optimistic scenario 4.32 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 37.5M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co pay a dividend?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co currently shows a dividend yield of 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co would have to grow free cash flow by +1.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9515 use?
Our models discount Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co that is +1.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies +1.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (+1.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.96 %: that much free cash flow Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co it is 3.33 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 3.64 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 9515 trades above its calculated fair value: price 3.64 SAR, fair value 3.33 SAR, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9515?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3.64 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.33 SAR). For Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co the two are 0.3100 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co worth?
The market values Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co at about 72.0M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 3.64 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 3.33 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9515?
Our models span a range for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co: cautious scenario 2.29 SAR, base 3.33 SAR, optimistic 4.32 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 3.64 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9515?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.33 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.5, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 12.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 14.9%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9515 from its 52-week high?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co trades at 3.64 SAR, about 53% below its 52-week high of 7.77 SAR and 2% above the low of 3.58 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.33 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 3.64 SAR, calculated fair value 3.33 SAR (−9%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9515 calculated?
We run Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.33 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 3.64 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 3.33 SAR, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (2.29 SAR to 4.32 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The market capitalisation of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 72.0M SAR (≈ $19.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 1.92 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Earnings per share at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co are 0.1700 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The dividend yield of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 2.8% (payout 60.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The net margin of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 8.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
The operating margin of Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Revenue at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co is growing −1.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515)?
Earnings per share at Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co are growing −15.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co (9515) hold?
Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Co holds more cash than debt, 1.4M SAR net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Oct 29, 2026