Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 27, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company stock SAR 19.68, price SAR 32.52, upside -39.5%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range 31.02 SAR – 160.88 SAR · fair‑value band 13.77 SAR – 25.58 SAR · the 32.52 SAR price screens above the 19.68 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Arabian Food and Dairy Factories Company produces, trades, and sells a range of ice cream products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers its products under the Fadeco and Blumark brand names. The Company was founded in 1979 and is based in Dammam, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
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Arabian Food and Dairy Factories Company operates as a subsidiary of HAK Holding Company.
Stock analysis
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536) currently trades at 32.52 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.68 SAR, 39.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 24.04 SAR per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the 32.52 SAR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 17.16 SAR, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 13.77 SAR (bear) to 25.58 SAR (bull), the price of 32.52 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company reported revenue of 64.1M SAR in FY2025 versus 52.2M SAR in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6M SAR in FY2025, compounding −28.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 45.9M SAR (≈ $12.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 37.4 · P/S ratio 0.70 · EPS (TTM) 0.8700 SAR · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −39%, 9536 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear13.77 SARFair Value 19.68 SARBull25.58 SAR
Price 32.52 SAR · Upside -39.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7198 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−23.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 5%
Compare Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 624 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−39.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.2% · Below median
Return on assets2.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)5.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)37.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.38× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.70× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA6.6× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)27· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)13· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)92· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9536
Frequently asked questions
Is Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 19.68 SAR versus a price of 32.52 SAR, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9536?
Our model-based fair value for Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 19.68 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 32.52 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9536?
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 19.68 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.77 SAR, optimistic scenario 25.58 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 19.68 SAR, about −39% upside versus a price of 32.52 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 13.77 SAR, optimistic scenario 25.58 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 65.8M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company pay a dividend?
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company currently shows a dividend yield of 4.61% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company it is 19.68 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 32.52 SAR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 9536 trades above its calculated fair value: price 32.52 SAR, fair value 19.68 SAR, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9536?
No. The price is what the market pays today (32.52 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (19.68 SAR). For Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company the two are 12.84 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company worth?
The market values Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company at about 45.9M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 32.52 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 19.68 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9536?
Our models span a range for Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company: cautious scenario 13.77 SAR, base 19.68 SAR, optimistic 25.58 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 32.52 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9536?
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.4 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 19.68 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9536 from its 52-week high?
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company trades at 32.52 SAR, about 46% below its 52-week high of 59.90 SAR and 5% above the low of 31.02 SAR (as of Oct 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 19.68 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 32.52 SAR, calculated fair value 19.68 SAR (−39%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9536 calculated?
We run Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 19.68 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The closing price on Oct 27, 2026 was 32.52 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 19.68 SAR, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (25.58 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (13.77 SAR to 25.58 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The market capitalisation of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 45.9M SAR (≈ $12.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 0.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Earnings per share at Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company are 0.8700 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The dividend yield of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 4.6% (payout 172%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The net margin of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 1.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The operating margin of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Revenue at Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is growing +5.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Earnings per share at Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company are growing −25.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536) generate?
The free cash flow of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is −1.9M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536) carry?
The net debt of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 9.0M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 29, 2026