Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range 34.10 SAR – 160.88 SAR · fair‑value band 13.77 SAR – 18.98 SAR · the 34.10 SAR price screens above the 15.81 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Arabian Food and Dairy Factories Company produces, trades, and sells a range of ice cream products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers its products under the Fadeco and Blumark brand names. The Company was founded in 1979 and is based in Dammam, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Show more
Arabian Food and Dairy Factories Company produces, trades, and sells a range of ice cream products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers its products under the Fadeco and Blumark brand names. The Company was founded in 1979 and is based in Dammam, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Arabian Food and Dairy Factories Company operates as a subsidiary of HAK Holding Company.
Stock analysis
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536) currently trades at 34.10 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.81 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 115.7% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 24.04 SAR per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the 34.10 SAR price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 12.40 SAR, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 13.77 SAR (bear) to 18.98 SAR (bull), the price of 34.10 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company reported revenue of 64.1M SAR in FY2025 versus 52.2M SAR in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6M SAR in FY2025, compounding −28.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 56.4M SAR (≈ $15.0M) · P/E ratio 29.9 · P/S ratio 0.75 · EPS (TTM) 1.14 SAR · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −54%, 9536 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 13.77 SARFair Value 15.81 SARBull 18.98 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8027 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−24.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 5%
Compare Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 647 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−46% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)29.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.45× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.23× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA2.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)11· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)19· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)75· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9536
Frequently asked questions
Is Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.81 SAR versus a price of 34.10 SAR, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9536?
Our model-based fair value for Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 15.81 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 34.10 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9536?
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 15.81 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.77 SAR, optimistic scenario 18.98 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 15.81 SAR, about −54% upside versus a price of 34.10 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 13.77 SAR, optimistic scenario 18.98 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 64.1M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company pay a dividend?
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.75% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company it is 15.81 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 34.10 SAR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9536 trades above its calculated fair value: price 34.10 SAR, fair value 15.81 SAR, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9536?
No. The price is what the market pays today (34.10 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (15.81 SAR). For Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company the two are 18.29 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company worth?
The market values Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company at about 56.4M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 34.10 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 15.81 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9536?
Our models span a range for Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company: cautious scenario 13.77 SAR, base 15.81 SAR, optimistic 18.98 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 34.10 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9536?
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 15.81 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 2.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 4.8%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9536 from its 52-week high?
Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company trades at 34.10 SAR, about 51% below its 52-week high of 69.55 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 15.81 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Nestlé India Limited, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 34.10 SAR, calculated fair value 15.81 SAR (−54%), Quality Score 47/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9536 calculated?
We run Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 15.81 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (18.98 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The market capitalisation of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 56.4M SAR (≈ $15.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 0.75 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Earnings per share at Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company are 1.14 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The dividend yield of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 3.8% (payout 112%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The net margin of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
The operating margin of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Revenue at Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is growing +2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536)?
Earnings per share at Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company are growing −25.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536) generate?
The free cash flow of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is −1.9M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company (9536) carry?
The net debt of Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company is 9.0M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company in the live analysis
One click puts Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
