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Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Yaqeen Capital Co. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · SA · ISIN SA1620K4M113

YC Some data Sep 13, 2026

Yaqeen Capital Co.

9602 · SR

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 2.59 SAR · Strongly overvalued (−71%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.1 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -5.4% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 6.4%
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

19.09 SAR 8.80 SAR Fair Value 2.59 SAR Jun 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range 8.80 SAR – 19.09 SAR · fair‑value band 2.06 SAR – 3.24 SAR · the 8.80 SAR price screens above the 2.59 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Yaqeen Capital Company operates as an investment bank and financial services company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through four segments: Brokerage, Investment Banking Group, Asset Management, and Investments.

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Yaqeen Capital Company operates as an investment bank and financial services company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through four segments: Brokerage, Investment Banking Group, Asset Management, and Investments. The company offers advisory services, including initial public offering (IPO) support, mergers and acquisitions, and strategic finance solutions; IPO services; and trading, arranging, custodial, and research services. It also manages investment funds and portfolios, such as public and ETF products; produces analysis and insights for investment decisions; provides brokerage services though trading channels and margin trading; and investing in financial and non-financial assets. In addition, the company offers private placement offering, rights issues, buy side advisory, debt restructuring, private placement offering, general corporate advisory, and financial restructuring. The company was formerly known as FALCOM Financial Services and changed its name to Yaqeen Capital Company in December 2021. Yaqeen Capital Company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602) currently trades at 8.80 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.59 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 239.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 7.48 SAR per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 8.80 SAR price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.66 SAR, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 2.06 SAR (bear) to 3.24 SAR (bull), the price of 8.80 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Yaqeen Capital Co. reported revenue of 79.3M SAR in FY2025 versus 135M SAR in FY2021, a compound −12.5%/yr. Reported net income was 5.1M SAR in FY2025, compounding −47.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 224M SAR (≈ $59.6M) · P/E ratio 44.0 · P/S ratio 2.82 · EPS (TTM) 0.2000 SAR · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity −1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1% · Operating margin 21.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −71%, 9602 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.06 SAR Fair Value 2.59 SAR Bull 3.24 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1414 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 3.07 SAR 3.61 SAR 4.47 SAR 75
Residual Income 7.00 SAR 6.34 SAR 4.23 SAR 71
Graham-Dodd 1.36 SAR 1.66 SAR 1.87 SAR 67
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 3.07 SAR 3.61 SAR 4.47 SAR 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.36 SAR 1.66 SAR 1.87 SAR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.95 SAR 2.59 SAR 3.24 SAR 63
P/B Multiple 2.54 SAR 3.39 SAR 4.24 SAR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.58 SAR 7.48 SAR 11.16 SAR 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7.00 SAR 6.34 SAR 4.23 SAR 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 16/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−37.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−37.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.46% → 16%

9602 screens 240% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 663 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −22% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.21× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.98× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.4× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $128.51 $52.88 −59%
Investor AB INVEB kr 402.55 kr 495.29 +23%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$52.93 C$18.88 −64%
KKR & Co KKR $101.08 $19.97 −80%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $128.98 $226.56 +76%
State Street Corporation STT $193.40 $138.33 −28%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $557.61 $536.83 −4%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $131.64 $82.65 −37%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $189.19 $122.02 −36%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $173.46 $239.85 +38%

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Yaqeen Capital Co. · Fair Value
2.59 SAR −240%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yaqeen Capital Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9602

Frequently asked questions

Is Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.59 SAR versus a price of 8.80 SAR, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9602?
Our model-based fair value for Yaqeen Capital Co. is 2.59 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8.80 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9602?
Yaqeen Capital Co. has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.59 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.06 SAR, optimistic scenario 3.24 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yaqeen Capital Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.59 SAR, about −71% upside versus a price of 8.80 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.06 SAR, optimistic scenario 3.24 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
Yaqeen Capital Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 72.8M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yaqeen Capital Co. it is 2.59 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 8.80 SAR. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yaqeen Capital Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9602 trades above its calculated fair value: price 8.80 SAR, fair value 2.59 SAR, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9602?
No. The price is what the market pays today (8.80 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.59 SAR). For Yaqeen Capital Co. the two are 6.21 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yaqeen Capital Co. worth?
The market values Yaqeen Capital Co. at about 224M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 8.80 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 2.59 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9602?
Our models span a range for Yaqeen Capital Co.: cautious scenario 2.06 SAR, base 2.59 SAR, optimistic 3.24 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 8.80 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9602?
Yaqeen Capital Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.59 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 2.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yaqeen Capital Co. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −1.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9602 from its 52-week high?
Yaqeen Capital Co. trades at 8.80 SAR, about 27% below its 52-week high of 12.12 SAR and 4% above the low of 8.46 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.59 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yaqeen Capital Co.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Investor AB, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yaqeen Capital Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 8.80 SAR, calculated fair value 2.59 SAR (−71%), Quality Score 45/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9602 calculated?
We run Yaqeen Capital Co. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.59 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Yaqeen Capital Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 8.80 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 2.59 SAR, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yaqeen Capital Co. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.24 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Yaqeen Capital Co.

How large is the market capitalisation of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
The market capitalisation of Yaqeen Capital Co. is 224M SAR (≈ $59.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yaqeen Capital Co. is 2.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
Earnings per share at Yaqeen Capital Co. are 0.2000 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
The net margin of Yaqeen Capital Co. is 6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yaqeen Capital Co. is −1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yaqeen Capital Co. is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
The operating margin of Yaqeen Capital Co. is 21.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
Revenue at Yaqeen Capital Co. is growing −21.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602)?
Earnings per share at Yaqeen Capital Co. are growing −65.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602) generate?
The free cash flow of Yaqeen Capital Co. is −23.2M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Yaqeen Capital Co. (9602) hold?
Yaqeen Capital Co. holds more cash than debt, 20.2M SAR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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