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Taiwan Paiho Limited (9938) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 14.0B TWD

TP Taiwan Paiho Limited 9938 · TW
Price42.00 TWD
Fair Value61.20 TWD
Upside+45.7%
Quality37/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range 34.07 TWD – 93.95 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −9.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 46% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide (34.07 TWD to 93.95 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

92.01 TWD 42.00 TWD Fair Value 61.20 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 42.00 TWD – 92.01 TWD · fair‑value band 34.07 TWD – 93.95 TWD · the 42.00 TWD price screens below the 61.20 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Taiwan Paiho Limited (9938) currently trades at 42.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 61.20 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 45.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Taiwan Paiho Limited generated revenue of 15.6B TWD at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue declined 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at 8.2B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 34.07 TWD (bear case) to 93.95 TWD (bull case); at 42.00 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 46%, 9938 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 13.35 TWD 21.80 TWD 34.18 TWD 80
Residual Income 38.76 TWD 42.41 TWD 54.57 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 30.78 TWD 56.48 TWD 86.64 TWD 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 13.16 TWD 22.90 TWD 38.21 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 24.33 TWD 40.87 TWD 66.89 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 30.78 TWD 57.16 TWD 91.91 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 73.64 TWD 139.14 TWD 218.01 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 42.56 TWD 79.70 TWD 119.84 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 22.95 TWD 45.67 TWD 78.09 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 51.91 TWD 103.28 TWD 176.35 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 31.92 TWD 61.51 TWD 99.86 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 27.87 TWD 96.17 TWD 129.15 TWD 54
Lynch FV 22.23 TWD 31.76 TWD 41.29 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 22.23 TWD 31.76 TWD 41.29 TWD 46
EPV 60.94 TWD 71.56 TWD 80.85 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 27.55 TWD 57.27 TWD 90.86 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 27.55 TWD 47.80 TWD 60.11 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 67.62 TWD 90.16 TWD 112.69 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 47.65 TWD 63.53 TWD 79.42 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 52.25 TWD 69.67 TWD 87.08 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 113.87 TWD 152.75 TWD 191.64 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 117.49 TWD 157.58 TWD 197.68 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 41.67 TWD 60.73 TWD 79.79 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.37 TWD 29.97 TWD 44.73 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 13.35 TWD 21.80 TWD 34.18 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 30.78 TWD 56.48 TWD 86.64 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 38.76 TWD 42.41 TWD 54.57 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 65.03 TWD 84.85 TWD 109.77 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 57.69 TWD 82.42 TWD 107.14 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (82.42 TWD) versus Growth DCF (21.80 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 15.6B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.0%
Net margin 6.6%
Return on equity 7.6%
Free cash flow 407M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 11.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.9%
EPS (TTM) 4.09 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) -43.1%
Net debt 8.2B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 1
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Taiwan Paiho Limited manufactures and sells touch fasteners, webbing, elastic, easy tape, jacquard digital woven fabric, jacquard engineered mesh, and other functional auxiliary materials and textile fabrics in Taiwan, China, Vietnam, and internationally.

Full company description

Taiwan Paiho Limited manufactures and sells touch fasteners, webbing, elastic, easy tape, jacquard digital woven fabric, jacquard engineered mesh, and other functional auxiliary materials and textile fabrics in Taiwan, China, Vietnam, and internationally. The company offers webbing, such as footwear, clothes, bag webbing, shoelaces and draw cords, etc.; and pull strings with various tips, reflective materials, and jacquard fabric weaving functions. It also provides Jacquard engineered mesh for shoe uppers, apparel, home accessories bags, baby strollers, and houseware; touch fastener for accessories of shoes, garments, raincoats, caps, sports equipment, leather goods, and medical equipment; various knitted elastic, flat woven elastic, jacquard elastic, and multi directional textile with elasticity; and easy tape products for paper diapers, medical equipment, computer pipelines, outdoor sporting goods, car seats and interiors, aircraft seats and interiors, and other accessories. In addition, the company offers finishing services for bamboo charcoal yarn; Jacquard digital woven fabric used as external fabrics for footwear, boutique bags and apparels; and thermal insulation products. The company was formerly known as San Ho Hsin Limited and changed its name to Taiwan Paiho Limited in 1986. Taiwan Paiho Limited was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Changhua, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Taiwan Paiho Limited reported revenue of 15.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 18.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B TWD in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
15.8B TWD
Latest YoY
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue −3.6%/yr
FY21 18.3B TWD
FY22 16.3B TWD
FY23 12.4B TWD
FY24 15.5B TWD
FY25 15.8B TWD
Net income −12.3%/yr
FY21 2.1B TWD
FY22 1.5B TWD
FY23 581M TWD
FY24 1.4B TWD
FY25 1.2B TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −2.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.7 pp

of which total revenue +4.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.9 pp

EBIT margin −3.3 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taiwan Paiho Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9938

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +46% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.37× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.05× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.90× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 94 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 30 · sector 15
HEALTH 81 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥78.00 ¥11.85 -85%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Taiwan Paiho Limited (9938) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 61.20 TWD versus a price of 42.00 TWD, about +46% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9938?
Our model-based fair value for Taiwan Paiho Limited is 61.20 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 42.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 9938?
Taiwan Paiho Limited has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Taiwan Paiho Limited (9938)?
Taiwan Paiho Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.6B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9938?
The net profit margin of Taiwan Paiho Limited is about 6.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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