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Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. €0.97, price €4.60, upside -78.9%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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WI
Thin data
Sep 27, 2026
Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A.
AAAK · ATWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value €0.9700 · Strongly overvalued (−78.9%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −12.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -30.4% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/10)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €3.94 – €15.50 · fair‑value band €0.8400 – €1.15 · the €4.60 price screens above the €0.9700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Stock analysis
Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK) currently trades at €4.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.9700, 78.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €1.56 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the €4.60 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €0.6900, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €0.8400 (bear) to €1.15 (bull), the price of €4.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. reported revenue of €496K in FY2025 versus €899K in FY2021, a compound −13.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€151K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €6.0M · P/S ratio 12.0 · EPS (TTM) €−0.1500 · Net margin −30.4% · Return on equity −6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% · Operating margin −20.4% · Revenue (TTM) €496K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at 78% fair-value upside, at −79%, AAAK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.8400
Fair Value €0.9700
Bull €1.15
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
€1.20
€1.61
€2.33
79
Growth DCF
€1.25
€1.64
€2.28
76
5Y Revenue Exit
€0.7700
€0.9700
€1.25
71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
€1.20
€1.61
€2.33
79
5Y Revenue Exit
€0.7700
€0.9700
€1.25
71
10Y Revenue Exit
€0.9300
€1.09
€1.25
66
Multiples
EV/Revenue
€0.5200
€0.6900
€0.8700
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€1.16
€1.56
€2.33
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
€1.25
€1.64
€2.28
76
Rev-Margin DCF
€0.7700
€0.9900
€1.28
71
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
37/100
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Profitability
3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−31.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.7%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.6% (2020) → −16.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +42.4% a year for the price.
AAAK screens overvalued: fair value 79% below the price. Compare with RAJPALAYAM →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textiles · 22 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Textiles median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Textiles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAJPALAYAM RAJPALAYAM | ₹737.05 | ₹1,586 | +115% |
| VTMLTD VTMLTD | ₹38.25 | ₹22.16 | −42% |
| EVERLON EVERLON | ₹110.05 | ₹50.24 | −54% |
| ASHNOOR ASHNOOR | ₹50.73 | ₹90.51 | +78% |
| RIBATEX RIBATEX | ₹66.83 | ₹127.82 | +91% |
| 522292 522292 | ₹71.00 | ₹62.91 | −11% |
| HPCOTTON HPCOTTON | ₹84.35 | ₹190.27 | +126% |
| SURYAAMBA SURYAAMBA | ₹119.00 | ₹200.90 | +69% |
| GTNINDS GTNINDS | ₹23.80 | ₹9.75 | −59% |
| SUNILTX SUNILTX | ₹85.12 | ₹241.00 | +183% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.9700 versus a price of €4.60, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AAAK?
Our model-based fair value for Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. is €0.9700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €4.60.
What is the quality score of AAAK?
Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.9700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.8400, optimistic scenario €1.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.9700, about −79% upside versus a price of €4.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.8400, optimistic scenario €1.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €496K (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +45.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -12.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AAAK use?
Our models discount Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.85, country premium for Greece. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. that is +45.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. grew -12.3 % a year. The price currently implies +45.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.58 %: that much free cash flow Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. it is €0.9700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of €4.60. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AAAK trades above its calculated fair value: price €4.60, fair value €0.9700, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AAAK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€4.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.9700). For Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. the two are €3.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. worth?
The market values Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. at about €6.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is €4.60; our models calculate a fair value of €0.9700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AAAK?
Our models span a range for Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A.: cautious scenario €0.8400, base €0.9700, optimistic €1.15 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price €4.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −6.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AAAK from its 52-week high?
Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. trades at €4.60, about 39% below its 52-week high of €7.60 and 8% above the low of €4.26 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.9700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Discretionary) we also value RAJPALAYAM, VTMLTD, EVERLON, ASHNOOR, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price €4.60, calculated fair value €0.9700 (−79%), Quality Score 37/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AAAK calculated?
We run Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.9700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was €4.60. Our model-based fair value is €0.9700, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
The market capitalisation of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. is €6.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. is 12.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
Earnings per share at Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. are €−0.1500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
The net margin of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. is −30.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. is −6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
The operating margin of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. is −20.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
Revenue at Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. is growing −19.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK)?
Earnings per share at Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. are growing −92.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. (AAAK) carry?
The net debt of Wool Industry Tria Alfa S.A. is €1.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 26.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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