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Apple Inc (AAPL) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $4.6T

AI Apple Inc logo Apple Inc AAPL · US
Price$333.26
Fair Value$122.91
Upside-63.1%
Quality83/100
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Evidence: High Range $87.90 – $191.60

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +11.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$333.26 $201.58 Fair Value $122.91 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $201.58 – $333.26 · fair‑value band $87.90 – $191.60 · the $333.26 price screens above the $122.91 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Apple Inc (AAPL) currently trades at $333.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $122.91, implying the stock looks roughly 63.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 83/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Apple Inc generated revenue of $451B at a net margin of 27.2%. Revenue grew 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 141.5%. Net debt stands at $76.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $87.90 (bear case) to $191.60 (bull case); at $333.26, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -63%, AAPL screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $451B
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.6%
Net margin 27.2%
Return on equity 141%
Free cash flow $98.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 38.4
More key figures
Operating margin 32.3%
EPS (TTM) $8.19
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.8%
Net debt $76.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories worldwide. The company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets; and wearables, home, and accessories comprising AirPods, Apple Vision Pro, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, and HomePod, as well as Apple branded and third-party accessories. It also provides AppleCare support and cloud services; and operates various platforms, including the App Store that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games, and podcasts, as well as advertising services include third-party licensing arrangements and its own advertising platforms. In addition, the company offers various subscription-based services, such as Apple Arcade, a game subscription service; Apple Fitness+, a personalized fitness service; Apple Music, which offers users a curated …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Apple Inc reported revenue of $416B in FY2025 versus $366B in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $112B in FY2025, compounding +4.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +3.3%/yr
FY21 $366B
FY22 $394B
FY23 $383B
FY24 $391B
FY25 $416B
Net income +4.3%/yr
FY21 $94.7B
FY22 $99.8B
FY23 $97.0B
FY24 $93.7B
FY25 $112B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Apple Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AAPL

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 317,000 KRW 119,421 KRW -62%
Sony Group SONYN 373.00 MXN 440.14 MXN +18%
Xiaomi Corporation 1810 HK$26.32 HK$52.80 +101%
Panasonic Holdings PCRHY $27.30 $8.36 -69%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 224,000 KRW 101,895 KRW -55%
Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 ¥316.81 ¥35.89 -89%
Huaqin Co 603296 ¥79.36 ¥95.93 +21%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥23.72 ¥10.84 -54%
LG Corp 003550 109,900 KRW 94,418 KRW -14%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866 ¥115.47 ¥78.52 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Apple Inc (AAPL) undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $122.91 versus a price of $333.26, about −63% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AAPL?
Our model-based fair value for Apple Inc is $122.91 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $333.26.
What is the quality score of AAPL?
Apple Inc has a Quality Score of 83/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Apple Inc (AAPL)?
Apple Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $451B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AAPL?
The net profit margin of Apple Inc is about 27.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Apple Inc pay a dividend?
Apple Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.