Xiaomi Corporation (1810) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$709B
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from HK$29.43 to HK$39.84 (+35.4%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +6.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 44% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$23.79 to HK$51.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$8.45 – HK$60.15 · fair‑value band HK$23.79 – HK$51.70 · the HK$27.62 price screens below the HK$39.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Xiaomi Corporation (1810) currently trades at HK$27.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$39.84, implying the stock looks roughly 44.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Xiaomi Corporation generated revenue of HK$445B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at HK$4.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$23.79 (bear case) to HK$51.70 (bull case); at HK$27.62, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 44%, 1810 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$43.32) versus Asset-Based (HK$6.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments.
Full company description
Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments. The company also offers internet of things (IoT) and lifestyle products comprising smart large home appliances, smart TVs, tablets, wearables and other IoT and lifestyle products; hardware repairment services for products; installation services for certain IoT products; and sale of materials. In addition, it provides internet services, such as advertising, online game, and fintech services; and development, manufacture, and sales of smart electric vehicles. Further, the company in the wholesale and retail of smartphones and ecosystem partners' products; investment activities; sales of smart hardware; software and hardware development; procurement and sales of smartphones, ecosystem partners' products and spare parts, and raw materials; operation of retail stores; and commercial factoring and e-commerce business. Additionally, it provides intra-group capital supervision, collection, remittance, credit guarantee, and interest rate risk management; customer; software related; promotion; electronic payment technology; and technical services. Xiaomi Corporation was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xiaomi Corporation reported revenue of HK$457B in FY2025 versus HK$328B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$41.6B in FY2025, compounding +21.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Consumer Electronics · 129 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Inc AAPL | $313.33 | $122.91 | -61% |
| Samsung Electronics Co 005930 | 255,000 KRW | 138,019 KRW | -46% |
| Sony Group SONYN | 366.00 MXN | 468.94 MXN | +28% |
| LG Electronics Inc 066570 | 179,000 KRW | 101,531 KRW | -43% |
| Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 | ¥277.96 | ¥35.89 | -87% |
| Huaqin Co 603296 | ¥78.20 | ¥65.69 | -16% |
| Goertek Inc 002241 | ¥22.25 | ¥18.86 | -15% |
| LG Corp 003550 | 102,400 KRW | 93,881 KRW | -8% |
| Anker Innovations Limited 300866 | ¥105.92 | ¥78.52 | -26% |
| Shenzhen Transsion Holdings 688036 | ¥68.50 | ¥44.90 | -34% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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