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ABN AMRO Bank N.V (ABN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · NL · Market cap €30.2B

AA ABN AMRO Bank N.V ABN · AS
Price€39.78
Fair Value€35.92
Upside-9.7%
Quality70/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 26.5% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.26% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/15)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range €26.94 – €44.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €35.89 to €35.92 (+0.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +3.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€39.95 €6.07 Fair Value €35.92 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €6.07 – €39.95 · fair‑value band €26.94 – €44.91 · the €39.78 price screens above the €35.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

ABN AMRO Bank N.V (ABN) currently trades at €39.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €35.92, implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ABN AMRO Bank N.V generated revenue of €8.8B at a net margin of 26.5%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at €29.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €26.94 (bear case) to €44.91 (bull case); at €39.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -10%, ABN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €52.59 €98.42 €174.00 80
Residual Income €27.99 €30.22 €36.12 76
Rev-Margin DCF €30.80 €57.25 €90.51 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €52.61 €101.21 €182.73 38
Owner Earnings €18.95 €42.83 €82.89 31
5Y Revenue Exit €30.80 €57.22 €91.67 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €32.07 €59.76 €93.08 41
5Y P/E Exit €33.58 €62.79 €94.93 38
10Y Revenue Exit €36.58 €63.71 €102.47 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €38.55 €65.55 €103.62 37
10Y P/E Exit €39.54 €67.73 €105.13 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €18.79 €79.01 €107.80 54
Lynch FV €20.06 €28.66 €37.25 50
PEG = 1.0 €20.06 €28.66 €37.25 46
EPV €12.75 €17.14 €20.98 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €12.22 €25.42 €40.32 70
DDM Multi-Stage €12.22 €21.43 €26.68 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €41.45 €55.27 €69.09 63
P/S Multiple €35.23 €46.98 €58.72 58
P/B Multiple €35.23 €46.98 €58.72 55
EV/EBIT €37.56 €54.60 €71.64 53
EV/EBITDA €25.43 €38.42 €51.42 54
EV/Revenue €20.90 €35.66 €50.43 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €16.59 €22.23 €33.18 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €52.59 €98.42 €174.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF €30.80 €57.25 €90.51 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €27.99 €30.22 €36.12 76
ROIC Compounder €12.75 €17.14 €20.98 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €33.13 €47.33 €61.52 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€62.79) versus Economic Profit (€17.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €8.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net margin 26.5%
Return on equity 8.4%
Free cash flow €4.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 13.4
More key figures
Operating margin 44.9%
EPS (TTM) €2.54
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.8%
Net debt €29.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 87
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ABN AMRO Bank N.V. provides various banking products and financial services to retail, private, and corporate banking clients in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Personal & Business Banking, Wealth Management, and Corporate Banking.

Full company description

ABN AMRO Bank N.V. provides various banking products and financial services to retail, private, and corporate banking clients in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Personal & Business Banking, Wealth Management, and Corporate Banking. The company offers fixed deposits; home improvement; mortgage products; investment products; and car, home travel, and legal expenses insurances. It also provides pension savings; asset-based solutions, including working capital solutions, equipment leases, equipment loans and vendor lease services, clearing services, equity brokerage services, payment and credit cards services; and internet and online banking. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. ABN AMRO Bank N.V. operates as a subsidiary of Stichting Administratiekantoor Continuïteit Abn Amro Bank.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ABN AMRO Bank N.V reported revenue of €16.9B in FY2025 versus €7.6B in FY2021, a compound +21.9%/yr. Reported net income was €2.3B in FY2025, compounding +16.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€16.9B
Latest YoY
−13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+29.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+24.6%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+8.4%
Revenue +21.9%/yr
FY21 €7.6B
FY22 €7.8B
FY23 €8.8B
FY24 €19.5B
FY25 €16.9B
Net income +16.3%/yr
FY21 €1.2B
FY22 €1.9B
FY23 €2.7B
FY24 €2.4B
FY25 €2.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ABN AMRO Bank N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Diversified · 47 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −10% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 45% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 2.24× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.29× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.97× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.51× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 20 · sector 36
FUTURE 18 · sector 25
PAST 34 · sector 42
HEALTH 0 · sector 52
DIVIDEND 65 · sector 67

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM $341.10 $278.99 -18%
Bank of America Corporation BAC $59.67 $55.89 -6%
China Construction Bank Corporation 601939 ¥10.16 ¥17.20 +69%
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited 601398 ¥7.50 ¥13.44 +79%
HSBC Holdings HSBC $100.52 $84.67 -16%
Agricultural Bank of China Limited 601288 ¥6.37 ¥11.85 +86%
Royal Bank of Canada RY C$305.74 C$190.48 -38%
Bank of China Limited 601988 ¥5.88 ¥9.80 +67%
Wells Fargo & Company WFCS C$23.58 C$27.40 +16%
Banco Santander, S.A SAN 51.02 PLN 55.60 PLN +9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ABN AMRO Bank N.V (ABN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €35.92 versus a price of €39.78, about −10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ABN?
Our model-based fair value for ABN AMRO Bank N.V is €35.92 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €39.78.
What is the quality score of ABN?
ABN AMRO Bank N.V has a Quality Score of 70/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ABN AMRO Bank N.V (ABN)?
ABN AMRO Bank N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €8.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ABN?
The net profit margin of ABN AMRO Bank N.V is about 26.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ABN AMRO Bank N.V pay a dividend?
ABN AMRO Bank N.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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