ABN Amro Group NV (ABN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of ABN Amro Group NV €30.96, price €43.35, upside -28.6%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €6.46 – €43.95 · fair‑value band €28.49 – €48.23 · the €43.35 price screens above the €30.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
ABN AMRO Bank N.V. provides various banking products and financial services to retail, private, and corporate banking clients in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Personal & Business Banking, Wealth Management, and Corporate Banking.
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ABN AMRO Bank N.V. provides various banking products and financial services to retail, private, and corporate banking clients in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Personal & Business Banking, Wealth Management, and Corporate Banking. The company offers fixed deposits; home improvement; mortgage products; investment products; and car, home travel, and legal expenses insurances. It also provides pension savings; asset-based solutions, including working capital solutions, equipment leases, equipment loans and vendor lease services, clearing services, equity brokerage services, payment and credit cards services; and internet and online banking. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. ABN AMRO Bank N.V. operates as a subsidiary of Stichting Administratiekantoor Continuïteit Abn Amro Bank.
Stock analysis
ABN Amro Group NV (ABN) currently trades at €43.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €30.96, implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €35.92 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the €43.35 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €21.43, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €28.49 (bear) to €48.23 (bull), the price of €43.35 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
ABN Amro Group NV reported revenue of €16.9B in FY2025 versus €7.6B in FY2021, a compound +21.9%/yr. Reported net income was €2.3B in FY2025, compounding +16.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €36.0B · P/E ratio 17.1 · P/S ratio 2.28 · EPS (TTM) €2.54 · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 13.3% · Return on equity 8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −29%, ABN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €28.49Fair Value €30.96Bull €48.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.6232 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.8% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9% vs 4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−6.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.6% a year for the price and −8.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Diversified · 47 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)27% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)45% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.24× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)17.1× · Pricier than median
P/B1.30× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)4.00× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF8.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA14.4× · Pricier than median
PEG1.51× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)18· sector 25
PAST (return on equity)34· sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 48
DIVIDEND (yield)78· sector 71
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ABN Amro Group NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABN
Frequently asked questions
Is ABN Amro Group NV (ABN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €30.96 versus a price of €43.35, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABN?
Our model-based fair value for ABN Amro Group NV is €30.96 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €43.35.
What is the quality score of ABN?
ABN Amro Group NV has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €30.96 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €28.49, optimistic scenario €48.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ABN Amro Group NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €30.96, about −29% upside versus a price of €43.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €28.49, optimistic scenario €48.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
ABN Amro Group NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €8.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does ABN Amro Group NV pay a dividend?
ABN Amro Group NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What growth is priced into ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ABN Amro Group NV would have to grow free cash flow by +3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +24.6 % per year. As of Sep 17, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ABN use?
Our models discount ABN Amro Group NV at 8.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.75, country premium for Netherlands. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ABN Amro Group NV that is +3.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ABN Amro Group NV (ABN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ABN Amro Group NV grew +24.6 % a year. The price currently implies +3.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ABN Amro Group NV (+3.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.06 %: that much free cash flow ABN Amro Group NV produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ABN Amro Group NV it is €30.96 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of €43.35. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ABN Amro Group NV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, ABN trades above its calculated fair value: price €43.35, fair value €30.96, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€43.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€30.96). For ABN Amro Group NV the two are €12.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ABN Amro Group NV worth?
The market values ABN Amro Group NV at about €36.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is €43.35; our models calculate a fair value of €30.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABN?
Our models span a range for ABN Amro Group NV: cautious scenario €28.49, base €30.96, optimistic €48.23 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price €43.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ABN?
ABN Amro Group NV trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.1 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €30.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 1.3, P/S 4.0, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
What is the PEG ratio of ABN?
The PEG ratio of ABN Amro Group NV is 1.51 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 17, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
Balance-sheet figures for ABN Amro Group NV (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 8.4%, debt of 2.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABN from its 52-week high?
ABN Amro Group NV trades at €43.35, about 24% below its 52-week high of €35.06 and 106% above the low of €21.06 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €30.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ABN Amro Group NV?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value JPMorgan Chase & Co, Bank of America Corporation, China Construction Bank Corporation, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ABN Amro Group NV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price €43.35, calculated fair value €30.96 (−29%), Quality Score 60/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABN calculated?
We run ABN Amro Group NV through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €30.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. ABN Amro Group NV itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was €43.35. Our model-based fair value is €30.96, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ABN Amro Group NV right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN) come from?
Earnings per share at ABN Amro Group NV grew +5.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.1 %, EBIT margin −5.0 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of ABN Amro Group NV
How large is the market capitalisation of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
The market capitalisation of ABN Amro Group NV is €36.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ABN Amro Group NV is 2.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
Earnings per share at ABN Amro Group NV are €2.54 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
The dividend yield of ABN Amro Group NV is 3.9% (payout 66.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
The net margin of ABN Amro Group NV is 13.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ABN Amro Group NV is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ABN Amro Group NV is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
The operating margin of ABN Amro Group NV is 44.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
Revenue at ABN Amro Group NV is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ABN Amro Group NV (ABN)?
Earnings per share at ABN Amro Group NV are growing +15.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ABN Amro Group NV (ABN) carry?
The net debt of ABN Amro Group NV is €29.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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