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Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $181M

AC Aurora Cannabis Inc logo Aurora Cannabis Inc ACB · US
Price$2.99
Fair Value$5.41
Upside+80.9%
Quality30/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -42.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range $3.57 – $6.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $5.42 to $5.41 (−0.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +11.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 81% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.57). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.57 to $6.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$102.30 $2.58 Fair Value $5.41 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.58 – $102.30 · fair‑value band $3.57 – $6.76 · the $2.99 price screens below the $5.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB) currently trades at $2.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.41, implying the stock looks roughly 80.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Aurora Cannabis Inc generated revenue of $321M at a net margin of -42.4%. Revenue grew 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $88.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.57 (bear case) to $6.76 (bull case); at $2.99, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 81%, ACB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $4.14 $5.55 $8.28 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.14 $5.55 $8.28 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $321M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.1%
Net margin -42.4%
Return on equity -10.5%
Free cash flow −$36.1M FY2026
Operating margin -26.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.7400
EPS growth (YoY) -94.7%
Net cash $88.9M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 31
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aurora Cannabis Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of cannabis and cannabis-derivative products in Canada and internationally. It operates through two segments, Canadian Cannabis and Plant Propagation.

Full company description

Aurora Cannabis Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of cannabis and cannabis-derivative products in Canada and internationally. It operates through two segments, Canadian Cannabis and Plant Propagation. The company offers pharmaceutical-grade cannabis products; medical and consumer cannabis products; and engages in the propagation of vegetables and floral plants. It also provides dried and fresh cannabis, cannabis oils, trims, concentrates, ingestibles, capsules, vaporizers, edible cannabis, cannabis extracts, and cannabis topicals; and patient counseling and outreach services. Its brand portfolio includes San Rafael '71, Greybeard, Drift, Daily Special, Being, CanniMed, MedReleaf, Aurora, and WMMC, as well as international brands include Pedanios, Bidiol, IndiMed, and CraftPlant. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Edmonton, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Aurora Cannabis Inc reported revenue of $321M in FY2026 versus $221M in FY2022, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$122M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 9/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$321M
Latest YoY
−6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+62.4%
Revenue +9.8%/yr
FY22 $221M
FY23 $224M
FY24 $270M
FY25 $343M
FY26 $321M
Net income
FY22 −$1.7B
FY23 −$817M
FY24 −$69.3M
FY25 $1.6M
FY26 −$122M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aurora Cannabis Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACB

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +81% · Top 25%
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -42% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -26% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.56× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 7
FUTURE 26 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 96 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.41 versus a price of $2.99, about +81% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ACB?
Our model-based fair value for Aurora Cannabis Inc is $5.41 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.99.
What is the quality score of ACB?
Aurora Cannabis Inc has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB)?
Aurora Cannabis Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $321M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACB?
The net profit margin of Aurora Cannabis Inc is about -42.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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