Acconeer AB (ACCON) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Acconeer AB SEK 1.30, price SEK 12.68, upside -89.8%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 4.36 – kr 71.43 · fair‑value band kr 0.8600 – kr 1.62 · the kr 12.68 price screens above the kr 1.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Acconeer AB (publ) provides mmWave radar solutions worldwide. It offers A121 radar sensors, which detect distance, speed, motion, and objects; XE125 module evaluation kits, including hardware and software; A111 and A121 radar sensors; XM123 presence and motion modules; and XM125 radar modules.
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Acconeer AB (publ) provides mmWave radar solutions worldwide. It offers A121 radar sensors, which detect distance, speed, motion, and objects; XE125 module evaluation kits, including hardware and software; A111 and A121 radar sensors; XM123 presence and motion modules; and XM125 radar modules. The company also provides XM126 and XM122 radar modules with Bluetooth. Its products are for use in cargo detection, level measurement, presence detection, industry and automation, and automotive applications. Acconeer AB (publ) was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Acconeer AB (ACCON) currently trades at kr 12.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.30, 89.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: kr 0.8600 (bear) to kr 1.62 (bull), the price of kr 12.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Acconeer AB reported revenue of 57.9M SEK in FY2025 versus 31.2M SEK in FY2021, a compound +16.7%/yr. Reported net income was −20.1M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.3B SEK (≈ $130M) · P/S ratio 20.8 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.3000 · Net margin −34.8% · Return on equity −8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −18.5% · Operating margin −50.8% · Revenue (TTM) 62.6M SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 159% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −90%, ACCON screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 0.8600Fair Value kr 1.30Bull kr 1.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.5% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−655.7% (2020) → −41.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 631 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−4.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−35.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−50.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth34.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.51× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.07× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 57
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Acconeer AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACCON
Frequently asked questions
Is Acconeer AB (ACCON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.30 versus a price of kr 12.68, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACCON?
Our model-based fair value for Acconeer AB is kr 1.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 12.68.
What is the quality score of ACCON?
Acconeer AB has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 1.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.8600, optimistic scenario kr 1.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Acconeer AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 1.30, about −90% upside versus a price of kr 12.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.8600, optimistic scenario kr 1.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
Acconeer AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 62.6M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Acconeer AB it is kr 1.30 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 12.68. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Acconeer AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ACCON trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 12.68, fair value kr 1.30, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACCON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 12.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 1.30). For Acconeer AB the two are kr 11.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Acconeer AB worth?
The market values Acconeer AB at about 1.3B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 12.68; our models calculate a fair value of kr 1.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACCON?
Our models span a range for Acconeer AB: cautious scenario kr 0.8600, base kr 1.30, optimistic kr 1.62 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 12.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Acconeer AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.0%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACCON from its 52-week high?
Acconeer AB trades at kr 12.68, about 49% below its 52-week high of kr 24.90 and 159% above the low of kr 4.90 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 1.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Acconeer AB?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Acconeer AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 12.68, calculated fair value kr 1.30 (−90%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACCON calculated?
We run Acconeer AB through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 1.30, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Acconeer AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 12.68. Our model-based fair value is kr 1.30, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Acconeer AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (kr 0.8600 to kr 1.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Acconeer AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
The market capitalisation of Acconeer AB is 1.3B SEK (≈ $130M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Acconeer AB is 20.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
Earnings per share at Acconeer AB are kr −0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
The net margin of Acconeer AB is −34.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Acconeer AB is −8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Acconeer AB is −18.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
The operating margin of Acconeer AB is −50.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Acconeer AB (ACCON)?
Revenue at Acconeer AB is growing +34.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Acconeer AB (ACCON) generate?
The free cash flow of Acconeer AB is −16.9M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Acconeer AB (ACCON) hold?
Acconeer AB holds more cash than debt, 43.4M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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