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ACM Research, Inc (ACMR) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $7.1B

AR ACM Research, Inc logo ACM Research, Inc ACMR · US
Price$83.80
Fair Value$29.35
Upside-65.0%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 9.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range $22.01 – $36.68 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $29.41 to $29.35 (−0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −14.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($36.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$126.89 $5.96 Fair Value $29.35 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.96 – $126.89 · fair‑value band $22.01 – $36.68 · the $83.80 price screens above the $29.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

ACM Research, Inc (ACMR) currently trades at $83.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.35, implying the stock looks roughly 65.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, ACM Research, Inc generated revenue of $960M at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 34.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $463M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $22.01 (bear case) to $36.68 (bull case); at $83.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 264% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -65%, ACMR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $17.84 $18.34 $18.61 76
ROIC Compounder $22.79 $28.20 $33.52 72
Gordon GGM $1.04 $2.07 $3.13 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $21.69 $36.93 $67.76 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.98 $69.58 $97.65 54
Lynch FV $35.95 $51.35 $66.76 50
PEG = 1.0 $35.95 $51.35 $66.76 46
EPV $22.79 $24.94 $26.79 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.04 $2.07 $3.13 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.04 $1.79 $2.18 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $22.01 $29.35 $36.68 63
P/S Multiple $18.71 $24.94 $31.18 58
P/B Multiple $18.71 $24.94 $31.18 55
EV/EBIT $32.20 $39.88 $47.56 53
EV/EBITDA $28.28 $34.65 $41.03 54
EV/Revenue $24.69 $31.34 $38.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.42 $15.30 $22.84 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $17.84 $18.34 $18.61 76
ROIC Compounder $22.79 $28.20 $33.52 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $46.32 $66.17 $86.03 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($66.17) versus Dividend Discount ($1.79). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $960M
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.2%
Net margin 9.5%
Return on equity 7.6%
Free cash flow −$66.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 78.6
More key figures
Operating margin 15.6%
EPS (TTM) $1.31
EPS growth (YoY) -18.7%
Net cash $463M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ACM Research, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells capital equipment in Mainland China and internationally. It also develops, manufactures, and sells a range of packaging tools to wafer assembly and packaging customers.

Full company description

ACM Research, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells capital equipment in Mainland China and internationally. It also develops, manufactures, and sells a range of packaging tools to wafer assembly and packaging customers. The company provides wet cleaning equipment for front end production processes; electrochemical plating, furnace, PECVD, and track platforms; Space Alternated Phase Shift, technology for flat and wafer surfaces; timely energized bubble oscillation, technology for patterned wafer surfaces at advanced process nodes; and Tahoe technology; and semi-critical cleaning tools. It also offers advanced packaging equipment, such as coaters, developers, photoresist strippers, scrubbers, wet etchers and copper-plating equipment; and advanced packaging products include: Ultra ECP ap, which delivers a uniform metal layer to finished wafers prior to packaging; Ultra C Developer, which applies liquid developer to selected parts of photoresist to resolve an image; Ultra C PR Megasonic-Assisted Stripper, which removes photoresist; Ultra C Scrubber, which scrubs and cleans wafers; Ultra C Thin Wafer Scrubber, which addresses a sub-market of cleaning very thin wafers for certain Asian assembly factories; and Ultra C Wet Etcher, which etches silicon wafers and copper and titanium interconnects. In addition, the company provides ECP technology for advanced metal plating; Ultra fn Furnace, a dry processing tool; Ultra Pmax PECVD tools, a proprietary designed chamber, gas distribution unit, and chuck; and Ultra Track, a 300mm process tool that delivers uniform air downflow, fast robot handling and configurable software to address specific customer requirements. It markets and sells its products under the SAPS, TEBO, ULTRA C, ULTRA Fn, Ultra ECP, Ultra ECP map, and Ultra ECP ap trademarks through direct sales force and third-party representatives. ACM Research, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ACM Research, Inc reported revenue of $901M in FY2025 versus $260M in FY2021, a compound +36.5%/yr. Reported net income was $94.1M in FY2025, compounding +25.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$901M
Latest YoY
+15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+32.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+41.9%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+40.0%
Revenue +36.5%/yr
FY21 $260M
FY22 $389M
FY23 $558M
FY24 $782M
FY25 $901M
Net income +25.6%/yr
FY21 $37.8M
FY22 $39.3M
FY23 $77.3M
FY24 $104M
FY25 $94.1M

ACMR screens 65% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ACM Research, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACMR

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 211 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 78.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.86× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.41× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 47.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 58
PAST 30 · sector 30
HEALTH 94 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML C$50.50 C$15.57 -69%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $579.43 $143.08 -75%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $346.10 $67.57 -80%
KLA Corporation KLAC $212.75 $53.01 -75%
NAURA Technology Group 002371 ¥774.20 ¥151.43 -80%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥350.69 ¥41.79 -88%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥832.00 ¥431.44 -48%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 6,005 TWD 1,804 TWD -70%
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 ¥325.24 ¥33.33 -90%
MPI Corporation 6223 5,600 TWD 609.44 TWD -89%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ACM Research, Inc (ACMR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.35 versus a price of $83.80, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACMR?
Our model-based fair value for ACM Research, Inc is $29.35 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $83.80.
What is the quality score of ACMR?
ACM Research, Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ACM Research, Inc (ACMR)?
ACM Research, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $960M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACMR?
The net profit margin of ACM Research, Inc is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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