ACM Research, Inc (ACMR) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $7.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $29.41 to $29.35 (−0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −14.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($36.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.96 – $126.89 · fair‑value band $22.01 – $36.68 · the $83.80 price screens above the $29.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
ACM Research, Inc (ACMR) currently trades at $83.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.35, implying the stock looks roughly 65.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, ACM Research, Inc generated revenue of $960M at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 34.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $463M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $22.01 (bear case) to $36.68 (bull case); at $83.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 264% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -65%, ACMR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($66.17) versus Dividend Discount ($1.79). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ACM Research, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells capital equipment in Mainland China and internationally. It also develops, manufactures, and sells a range of packaging tools to wafer assembly and packaging customers.
Full company description
ACM Research, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells capital equipment in Mainland China and internationally. It also develops, manufactures, and sells a range of packaging tools to wafer assembly and packaging customers. The company provides wet cleaning equipment for front end production processes; electrochemical plating, furnace, PECVD, and track platforms; Space Alternated Phase Shift, technology for flat and wafer surfaces; timely energized bubble oscillation, technology for patterned wafer surfaces at advanced process nodes; and Tahoe technology; and semi-critical cleaning tools. It also offers advanced packaging equipment, such as coaters, developers, photoresist strippers, scrubbers, wet etchers and copper-plating equipment; and advanced packaging products include: Ultra ECP ap, which delivers a uniform metal layer to finished wafers prior to packaging; Ultra C Developer, which applies liquid developer to selected parts of photoresist to resolve an image; Ultra C PR Megasonic-Assisted Stripper, which removes photoresist; Ultra C Scrubber, which scrubs and cleans wafers; Ultra C Thin Wafer Scrubber, which addresses a sub-market of cleaning very thin wafers for certain Asian assembly factories; and Ultra C Wet Etcher, which etches silicon wafers and copper and titanium interconnects. In addition, the company provides ECP technology for advanced metal plating; Ultra fn Furnace, a dry processing tool; Ultra Pmax PECVD tools, a proprietary designed chamber, gas distribution unit, and chuck; and Ultra Track, a 300mm process tool that delivers uniform air downflow, fast robot handling and configurable software to address specific customer requirements. It markets and sells its products under the SAPS, TEBO, ULTRA C, ULTRA Fn, Ultra ECP, Ultra ECP map, and Ultra ECP ap trademarks through direct sales force and third-party representatives. ACM Research, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ACM Research, Inc reported revenue of $901M in FY2025 versus $260M in FY2021, a compound +36.5%/yr. Reported net income was $94.1M in FY2025, compounding +25.6%/yr from FY2021.
ACMR screens 65% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- ACM Research beats top-line and bottom-line estimates; raises FY26 outlook
- ACM Research Gears Up to Report Q2 Earnings: How to Play the Stock
- Why ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today
Peer Group
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 211 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Holding ASML | C$50.50 | C$15.57 | -69% |
| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $579.43 | $143.08 | -75% |
| Lam Research Corporation LRCX | $346.10 | $67.57 | -80% |
| KLA Corporation KLAC | $212.75 | $53.01 | -75% |
| NAURA Technology Group 002371 | ¥774.20 | ¥151.43 | -80% |
| Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 | ¥350.69 | ¥41.79 | -88% |
| Piotech Inc 688072 | ¥832.00 | ¥431.44 | -48% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 6,005 TWD | 1,804 TWD | -70% |
| Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 | ¥325.24 | ¥33.33 | -90% |
| MPI Corporation 6223 | 5,600 TWD | 609.44 TWD | -89% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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