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African Rainbow Minerals Limited (AFBOF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.2B

AR African Rainbow Minerals Limited logo African Rainbow Minerals Limited AFBOF · US
Price$11.07
Fair Value$4.43
Upside-60.0%
Quality48/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $3.31 – $5.52 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price −24.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$15.00 $1.70 Fair Value $4.43 Aug 2015 Jun 2026

12‑month range $1.70 – $15.00 · fair‑value band $3.31 – $5.52 · the $11.07 price screens above the $4.43 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

African Rainbow Minerals Limited (AFBOF) currently trades at $11.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.43, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, African Rainbow Minerals Limited generated revenue of $13.8B at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $6.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.31 (bear case) to $5.52 (bull case); at $11.07, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -60%, AFBOF screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $13.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.3%
Net margin 9.3%
Return on equity 3.4%
Free cash flow −$210M FY2025
P/E ratio 26.4
More key figures
Operating margin 12.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.4200
EPS growth (YoY) +231%
Net cash $6.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

African Rainbow Minerals Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified mining and minerals company in South Africa, Malaysia, and Switzerland. It explores for platinum group metals, nickel, coal, iron ore, copper, manganese ore, and chrome, as well as gold deposits. African Rainbow Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1933 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

African Rainbow Minerals Limited reported revenue of $11.7B in FY2025 versus $19.7B in FY2021, a compound −12.2%/yr. Reported net income was $330M in FY2025, compounding −59.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −12.2%/yr
FY21 $19.7B
FY22 $16.9B
FY23 $14.7B
FY24 $11.4B
FY25 $11.7B
Net income −59.8%/yr
FY21 $12.6B
FY22 $12.4B
FY23 $8.1B
FY24 $3.1B
FY25 $330M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "African Rainbow Minerals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AFBOF

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Frequently asked questions

Is African Rainbow Minerals Limited (AFBOF) undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.43 versus a price of $11.07, about −60% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AFBOF?
Our model-based fair value for African Rainbow Minerals Limited is $4.43 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.07.
What is the quality score of AFBOF?
African Rainbow Minerals Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of African Rainbow Minerals Limited (AFBOF)?
African Rainbow Minerals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AFBOF?
The net profit margin of African Rainbow Minerals Limited is about 9.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.