African Rainbow Minerals Limited (AFBOF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price −24.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.70 – $15.00 · fair‑value band $3.31 – $5.52 · the $11.07 price screens above the $4.43 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
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African Rainbow Minerals Limited (AFBOF) currently trades at $11.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.43, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, African Rainbow Minerals Limited generated revenue of $13.8B at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $6.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.31 (bear case) to $5.52 (bull case); at $11.07, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -60%, AFBOF screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
African Rainbow Minerals Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified mining and minerals company in South Africa, Malaysia, and Switzerland. It explores for platinum group metals, nickel, coal, iron ore, copper, manganese ore, and chrome, as well as gold deposits. African Rainbow Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1933 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
African Rainbow Minerals Limited reported revenue of $11.7B in FY2025 versus $19.7B in FY2021, a compound −12.2%/yr. Reported net income was $330M in FY2025, compounding −59.8%/yr from FY2021.
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| Fortescue Ltd FSUMF | $13.50 | $15.72 | +16% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥108.33 | ¥4.93 | -95% |
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| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥49.66 | ¥17.16 | -65% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.