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Afrimat Limited (AFT) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · ZA · Market cap 4.1B ZAC

AL Afrimat Limited AFT · JSE
PriceR26.84
Fair ValueR27.61
Upside+2.9%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range R19.34 – R27.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from R18.49 to R27.61 (+49.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +0.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from R19.34 (bear) to R27.61 (bull), base R27.61. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R73.65 R26.11 Fair Value R27.61 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R26.11 – R73.65 · fair‑value band R19.34 – R27.61 · the R26.84 price screens below the R27.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Afrimat Limited (AFT) currently trades at R26.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R27.61, implying the stock looks roughly 2.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Afrimat Limited generated revenue of 9.5B ZAR at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 29.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at 2.1B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R19.34 (bear case) to R27.61 (bull case); at R26.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 3%, AFT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income R20.39 R19.71 R16.17 76
ROIC Compounder R19.80 R23.33 R26.37 72
Gordon GGM R3.66 R7.28 R11.03 70
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings R35.79 R77.34 R157.28 31
5Y Revenue Exit R19.18 R46.03 R89.03 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R36.23 R84.17 R155.11 41
5Y P/E Exit R4.23 R12.87 R23.88 38
10Y Revenue Exit R11.06 R35.19 R75.04 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R23.73 R64.79 R140.29 37
10Y P/E Exit R2.07 R9.21 R21.42 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R5.38 R34.12 R47.67 54
Lynch FV R9.86 R14.08 R18.31 50
PEG = 1.0 R9.86 R14.08 R18.31 46
EPV R19.80 R23.33 R26.37 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R3.66 R7.28 R11.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage R3.66 R6.29 R7.69 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R10.09 R13.46 R16.82 63
P/S Multiple R10.09 R13.46 R16.82 58
P/B Multiple R10.09 R13.46 R16.82 55
EV/EBIT R32.49 R44.17 R55.84 53
EV/EBITDA R55.54 R74.90 R94.25 54
EV/Revenue R27.83 R40.83 R53.84 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R14.34 R19.21 R28.67 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income R20.39 R19.71 R16.17 76
ROIC Compounder R19.80 R23.33 R26.37 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R12.80 R18.28 R23.77 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (R46.03) versus Dividend Discount (R6.29). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.5B ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.9%
Net margin 1.7%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow 592K ZAC FY2026
P/E ratio 40.4
More key figures
Operating margin 7.1%
EPS (TTM) R0.7900
Dividend yield 0.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +81.4%
Net debt 2.1B ZAC FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Afrimat Limited operates as a mining and materials company primarily in the southern African region. The company operates through five segments: Construction Materials, Industrial Minerals, Bulk Commodities, Future Materials and Metals, and Services.

Full company description

Afrimat Limited operates as a mining and materials company primarily in the southern African region. The company operates through five segments: Construction Materials, Industrial Minerals, Bulk Commodities, Future Materials and Metals, and Services. The Construction Materials segment provides aggregates products, including sand, gravel, and crushed stone; and concrete-based products made from rock, sand, water, cement, and readymix cement. This segment also processes and sells fly-ash; and manufactures and supplies cement. The Industrial Minerals segment offers limestone, dolomite, and industrial sand. The Bulk Commodities segment provides iron ore and anthracite. The Future Materials and Metals segment produces phosphate and rare earths. The Services segment offers IT, consulting, and external logistical; and mining services, such as mobile crushing, screening, drilling, blasting, mining, and loading and hauling services. The company was founded in 1963 and is based in Bellville, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Afrimat Limited reported revenue of R10.0B in FY2026 versus R4.7B in FY2022, a compound +20.9%/yr. Reported net income was R122M in FY2026, compounding −37.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
10.0B ZAR
Latest YoY
+20.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.0%
Revenue +20.9%/yr
FY22 R4.7B
FY23 R4.9B
FY24 R6.1B
FY25 R8.3B
FY26 R10.0B
Net income −37.0%/yr
FY22 R773M
FY23 R661M
FY24 R782M
FY25 R95.6M
FY26 R122M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +3.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +15.7 pp

of which total revenue +16.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp

EBIT margin −6.5 pp
Tax rate −1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −4.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Afrimat Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AFT

Peer Group

Building Materials · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.19× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.94× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.41× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 431.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 27
FUTURE 55 · sector 2
PAST 14 · sector 15
HEALTH 91 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Afrimat Limited (AFT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R27.61 versus a price of R26.84, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AFT?
Our model-based fair value for Afrimat Limited is R27.61 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R26.84.
What is the quality score of AFT?
Afrimat Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Afrimat Limited (AFT)?
Afrimat Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.5B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AFT?
The net profit margin of Afrimat Limited is about 1.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Afrimat Limited pay a dividend?
Afrimat Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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