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Akso Health Group (AHG) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.0B

AH Akso Health Group logo Akso Health Group AHG · US
Price$1.35
Fair Value$0.1870
Upside-86.2%
Quality35/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (0/11)
Narrow moat 7/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.1870 – $0.1955 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −15.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1955). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($0.1870 to $0.1955), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$18.87 $0.2505 Fair Value $0.1870 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2505 – $18.87 · fair‑value band $0.1870 – $0.1955 · the $1.35 price screens above the $0.1870 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Akso Health Group (AHG) currently trades at $1.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1870, implying the stock looks roughly 86.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $14.8M. Revenue grew 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -68.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $176M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1870 (bear case) to $0.1955 (bull case); at $1.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -86%, AHG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.2000 $0.2100 $0.2300 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2000 $0.2100 $0.2300 74
NCAV (Graham) $0.1200 $0.1600 $0.2300 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.2000 $0.2100 $0.2300 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2000 $0.2100 $0.2200 39
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2000 $0.2100 $0.2200 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.1900 $0.2000 $0.2000 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1200 $0.1600 $0.2300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.2000 $0.2100 $0.2300 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2000 $0.2100 $0.2300 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.2100) versus Asset-Based ($0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $14.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.9%
Return on equity -68.3%
Free cash flow $1.0M FY2025
Operating margin -20.5%
EPS (TTM) $-0.4800
More key figures
Net cash $176M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Akso Health Group, together with its subsidiaries, operates a social e-commerce mobile platform in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Akso Health Group, together with its subsidiaries, operates a social e-commerce mobile platform in the People's Republic of China. It operates Xiaobai Maimai App, a social e-commerce mobile platform that offers food and beverage products, wine, cosmetic products, fashion and apparel, entertainment products, housewares, home appliances, and cost-saving promotions at petrol gas stations. The company also sells medical devices, such as defibrillators and anesthesia laryngoscopes. In addition, it provides health treatment, consultancy support, and marketing promotion services, as well as technological promotion services and import and export. The company was formerly known as Xiaobai Maimai Inc. and changed its name to Akso Health Group in December 2021. Akso Health Group was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Qingdao, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Akso Health Group reported revenue of $14.8M in FY2025 versus $1.8M in FY2021, a compound +70.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$135M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$14.8M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+32.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.4%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+12.3%
Revenue +70.3%/yr
FY21 $1.8M
FY22 $6.3M
FY23 $13.2M
FY24 $2.4M
FY25 $14.8M
Net income
FY21 −$34.8M
FY22 −$16.8M
FY23 −$1.4M
FY24 −$9.5M
FY25 −$135M

AHG screens 86% overvalued. Compare with McKesson Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akso Health Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AHG

Peer Group

Medical Distribution · 81 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.10× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.18× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 69.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1,009.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 32
FUTURE 5 · sector 14
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 95 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McKesson Corporation MCK $805.96 $819.31 +2%
Cencora, Inc COR $303.44 $175.74 -42%
Cardinal Health, Inc CAH $224.94 $141.77 -37%
Henry Schein, Inc HSIC $87.82 $74.67 -15%
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 ¥16.70 ¥33.96 +103%
Sinopharm Group 1099 HK$16.74 HK$61.33 +266%
Galenica AG GALE CHF 87.05 CHF 61.79 -29%
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 ¥21.50 ¥28.65 +33%
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 ¥4.99 ¥9.84 +97%
Asker Healthcare Group ASKER kr 79.45 kr 25.69 -68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Akso Health Group (AHG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1870 versus a price of $1.35, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AHG?
Our model-based fair value for Akso Health Group is $0.1870 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.35.
What is the quality score of AHG?
Akso Health Group has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Akso Health Group (AHG)?
Akso Health Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AHG?
The net profit margin of Akso Health Group is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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