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American Integrity Insurance Group (AII) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $329M

AI American Integrity Insurance Group logo American Integrity Insurance Group AII · US
Price$21.00
Fair Value$35.90
Upside+71.0%
Quality87/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 27.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Wide moat 81/100
Evidence: Medium Range $26.92 – $44.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $35.40 to $35.90 (+1.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +10.2% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (87/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($26.92). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (15 months)

$24.81 $15.16 Fair Value $35.90 May 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range $15.16 – $24.81 · fair‑value band $26.92 – $44.87 · the $21.00 price screens below the $35.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

American Integrity Insurance Group (AII) currently trades at $21.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.90, implying the stock looks roughly 71.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 87/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, American Integrity Insurance Group generated revenue of $296M at a net margin of 27.6%. Revenue grew 26.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $203M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.92 (bear case) to $44.87 (bull case); at $21.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 71%, AII screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $30.00 $41.38 $241.42 76
P/E Multiple $49.58 $66.11 $82.63 63
P/B Multiple $18.06 $24.08 $30.11 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $49.58 $66.11 $82.63 63
P/B Multiple $18.06 $24.08 $30.11 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.60 $11.53 $17.20 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $30.00 $41.38 $241.42 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($41.38) versus Asset-Based ($11.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $296M
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.5%
Net margin 27.6%
Return on equity 31.2%
Free cash flow $133M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.5
More key figures
Operating margin 30.0%
EPS (TTM) $4.84
EPS growth (YoY) -63.4%
Net cash $203M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 87/100

Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance company in the United States. The company offers personal residential property insurance for single-family homeowners and condominium owners, as well as coverage for vacant dwellings and investment properties.

Full company description

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance company in the United States. The company offers personal residential property insurance for single-family homeowners and condominium owners, as well as coverage for vacant dwellings and investment properties. It also provides manufactured home, commercial residential, dwelling property, and specialty insurance products. In addition, the company offers optional endorsements that provide higher levels of standard coverage and optional coverage, such as personal injury, animal liability, identity recovery, and golf cart physical; and flood insurance products. It distributes its products through the Voluntary Market, which includes partnerships with independent agents, national and regional insurance companies, homebuilder-affiliated agents, and direct-to-consumer channels. American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

American Integrity Insurance Group reported revenue of $276M in FY2025 versus $201M in FY2023, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was $99.6M in FY2025, compounding +62.3%/yr from FY2023.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$276M
Latest YoY
+35.3%
Revenue +17.3%/yr
FY23 $201M
FY24 $204M
FY25 $276M
Net income +62.3%/yr
FY23 $37.8M
FY24 $39.7M
FY25 $99.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "American Integrity Insurance Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AII

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 90 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 44
FUTURE 100 · sector 31
PAST 100 · sector 56
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Progressive Corporation PGR $234.48 $252.50 +8%
Chubb Limited CB $337.44 $345.56 +2%
The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV $368.98 $384.42 +4%
The Allstate Corporation ALL $251.61 $503.22 +100%
The People's Insurance Company 601319 ¥7.06 ¥13.71 +94%
Intact Financial Corporation IFC C$294.02 C$247.44 -16%
Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH C$2,327 C$3,252 +40%
QBE Insurance Group QBE A$25.47 A$19.42 -24%
Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 648,000 KRW 658,771 KRW +2%
Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU 69.80 PLN 100.85 PLN +44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is American Integrity Insurance Group (AII) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $35.90 versus a price of $21.00, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AII?
Our model-based fair value for American Integrity Insurance Group is $35.90 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $21.00.
What is the quality score of AII?
American Integrity Insurance Group has a Quality Score of 87/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of American Integrity Insurance Group (AII)?
American Integrity Insurance Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $296M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AII?
The net profit margin of American Integrity Insurance Group is about 27.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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