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Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA (PZU) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · PL · Market cap 60.3B PLN

PZ Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU · WAR
Price73.22 PLN
Fair Value100.85 PLN
Upside+37.7%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.94% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: Medium Range 75.64 PLN – 126.06 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +7.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 38% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (75.64 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

73.22 PLN 18.32 PLN Fair Value 100.85 PLN Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 18.32 PLN – 73.22 PLN · fair‑value band 75.64 PLN – 126.06 PLN · the 73.22 PLN price screens below the 100.85 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA (PZU) currently trades at 73.22 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 100.85 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA generated revenue of 62.6B PLN at a net margin of 10.1%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.3%. Net debt stands at 28.3B PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 75.64 PLN (bear case) to 126.06 PLN (bull case); at 73.22 PLN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 38%, PZU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 100.81 PLN 200.89 PLN 370.39 PLN 80
Residual Income 49.75 PLN 62.39 PLN 174.68 PLN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 98.44 PLN 197.16 PLN 324.62 PLN 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 101.79 PLN 210.74 PLN 400.24 PLN 38
Owner Earnings 67.41 PLN 148.51 PLN 289.58 PLN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 98.44 PLN 199.91 PLN 338.05 PLN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 147.37 PLN 300.78 PLN 494.50 PLN 41
5Y P/E Exit 83.32 PLN 168.76 PLN 265.85 PLN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 93.96 PLN 190.89 PLN 339.97 PLN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 130.89 PLN 264.79 PLN 470.93 PLN 37
10Y P/E Exit 88.43 PLN 168.06 PLN 279.55 PLN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 52.75 PLN 244.55 PLN 335.90 PLN 54
Lynch FV 64.46 PLN 92.08 PLN 119.71 PLN 50
PEG = 1.0 64.46 PLN 92.08 PLN 119.71 PLN 46
EPV 121.53 PLN 147.24 PLN 169.74 PLN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 41.03 PLN 85.32 PLN 135.34 PLN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 41.03 PLN 71.94 PLN 89.54 PLN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 116.37 PLN 155.16 PLN 193.94 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 98.91 PLN 131.88 PLN 164.85 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 92.42 PLN 123.23 PLN 154.04 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 246.20 PLN 339.18 PLN 432.16 PLN 53
EV/EBITDA 185.85 PLN 258.71 PLN 331.57 PLN 54
EV/Revenue 98.39 PLN 154.58 PLN 210.78 PLN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 20.54 PLN 27.52 PLN 41.08 PLN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 100.81 PLN 200.89 PLN 370.39 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 98.44 PLN 197.16 PLN 324.62 PLN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 49.75 PLN 62.39 PLN 174.68 PLN 76
ROIC Compounder 142.85 PLN 203.23 PLN 281.08 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 100.17 PLN 143.10 PLN 186.03 PLN 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (197.16 PLN) versus Asset-Based (27.52 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 62.6B PLN
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.7%
Net margin 10.1%
Return on equity 18.3%
Free cash flow 9.0B PLN FY2025
P/E ratio 8.5
More key figures
Operating margin 34.4%
EPS (TTM) 7.30 PLN
Dividend yield 7.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -22.6%
Net debt 28.3B PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA provides life and non-life insurance products and services in Poland, the Baltic States, and Ukraine.

Full company description

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA provides life and non-life insurance products and services in Poland, the Baltic States, and Ukraine. It operates through Corporate Insurance; Mass Insurance; Group Insurance and Individually Continued Insurance; Individual Insurance; Life Investment Insurance; Investments; Banking; Pension Insurance; Baltic Countries; Ukraine; and Investment Contracts segments. The company offers motor, property, casualty, agricultural, fire, and third-party liability insurance, as well as health and accident insurance. It also provides banking, asset management, brokerage, investment and transaction advisory, finance leasing, and factoring; and transfer agent, call center, business consulting, IT, venture capital fund management, medical, training, assistance, data center, printing, human resources and payroll, and financial and accounting services, as well as manages pension and mutual funds. In addition, the company is involved in buying, operating, leasing, and selling real estate; property management; rental of office and commercial space; investment activities; and investment of free funds and development activity in the construction of commercial real estate. Further, it engages in the manufacture and sale of bathroom and kitchen taps, aluminum central heating radiators, shower cabins, valves, and screens; and auxiliary activities associated with insurance and pension funds. Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA was founded in 1803 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA reported revenue of 64.7B PLN in FY2025 versus 40.8B PLN in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 6.7B PLN in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
64.7B PLN
Latest YoY
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+10.9%
Revenue +12.2%/yr
FY21 40.8B PLN
FY22 49.5B PLN
FY23 55.1B PLN
FY24 55.4B PLN
FY25 64.7B PLN
Net income +5.4%/yr
FY21 5.4B PLN
FY22 5.3B PLN
FY23 5.8B PLN
FY24 5.3B PLN
FY25 6.7B PLN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PZU

Peer Group

Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +38% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.99× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.72× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 84 · sector 41
FUTURE 0 · sector 31
PAST 73 · sector 56
HEALTH 51 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 48

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Progressive Corporation PGR $234.48 $252.50 +8%
Chubb Limited CB $337.44 $345.56 +2%
The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV $368.98 $384.42 +4%
The Allstate Corporation ALL $251.61 $503.22 +100%
The People's Insurance Company 601319 ¥7.06 ¥13.71 +94%
Intact Financial Corporation IFC C$294.02 C$247.44 -16%
Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH C$2,327 C$3,252 +40%
QBE Insurance Group QBE A$25.47 A$19.42 -24%
Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 648,000 KRW 658,771 KRW +2%
Gjensidige Forsikring ASA GJF kr 277.00 kr 170.47 -38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA (PZU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 100.85 PLN versus a price of 73.22 PLN, about +38% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PZU?
Our model-based fair value for Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA is 100.85 PLN (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 73.22 PLN.
What is the quality score of PZU?
Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA has a Quality Score of 61/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA (PZU)?
Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 62.6B PLN (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PZU?
The net profit margin of Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA is about 10.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA pay a dividend?
Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.59% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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