Alpha Bank S.A (ALBKY) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $11.0B
Alpha Bank S.A
ALBKY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +8.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- Our model range runs from $1.13 (bear) to $1.89 (bull), base $1.51. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1917 – $1.26 · fair‑value band $1.13 – $1.89 · the $1.26 price screens below the $1.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Alpha Bank S.A (ALBKY) currently trades at $1.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.51, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Alpha Bank S.A generated revenue of $1.8B at a net margin of 49.1%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.3%. Net debt stands at $7.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.13 (bear case) to $1.89 (bull case); at $1.26, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 20%, ALBKY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.23) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alpha Bank S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking and financial products and services in Greece and internationally. The company offers savings, premier, deposit, payroll, and payroll for pension accounts, as well as savings and sight account in foreign currency.
Full company description
Alpha Bank S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking and financial products and services in Greece and internationally. The company offers savings, premier, deposit, payroll, and payroll for pension accounts, as well as savings and sight account in foreign currency. It also provides personal, mortgage, home improvement, and green loans; debit, credit, and prepaid cards; digital wallets; health, home and car, credit card protection, online transactions, card theft, mortgage loan, personal insurance products, as well as unit-linked and insurance savings plans; and working capital facilities, corporate loans, leasing products, factoring services, letters of guarantee/letters of credit, trading, and wealth management services. In addition, the company offers investment products, such as mutual funds, investment plans and combined investment, equities and stock exchanges, bonds, and term deposits. Further, it provides various business banking products and services comprising business banking advisory, business cards, partner ecosystem, green solutions for small businesses, deposit products, financing solutions, sectorial programmes, insurance, Nexi POS, and international trade; international market products; corporate finance, custody, shipping, and other services; and mass payment, Nexi XPay, cash management, online legalization for legal entities, tools, online term deposit for business, myBusiness benefit, API portal, and e-banking. Additionally, the company offers supranational development and national development programmes, and recovery and resilience facility loans; gold personal and business banking services; GEM portfolio management and e-wealth services, and lombard loans. Alpha Bank S.A. was founded in 1879 and is based in Athens, Greece.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alpha Bank S.A reported revenue of $4.6B in FY2025 versus $249M in FY2021, a compound +107.7%/yr. Reported net income was $943M in FY2025.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Alpha Services and Holdings SA (ALBKY) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Profit Growth ...
- Alpha Services and Holdings SA (ALBKY) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Growth Amid ...
- Alpha Bank reports Q1 results
- Alpha Services and Holdings SA (ALBKY) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Profit Growth ...
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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