Louis Hachette Group (ALHG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FR · Market cap €1.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +8.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.9775). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (20 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
20‑month range €1.15 – €1.89 · fair‑value band €0.6035 – €0.9775 · the €1.89 price screens above the €0.8925 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Louis Hachette Group (ALHG) currently trades at €1.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.8925, implying the stock looks roughly 52.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Louis Hachette Group generated revenue of €9.7B at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at €4.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.6035 (bear case) to €0.9775 (bull case); at €1.89, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -53%, ALHG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€18.20) versus Multiples (€0.4700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Louis Hachette Group S.A. engages in the publishing and travel retail and media businesses. It publishes and distributes books, including general literature, textbooks, children and young adult books, comics and manga, tourism, fine art, and dictionaries; offers a range of convenience and specialty items, fashion gallery, cosmetics, alcohol, tobacco, and …
Full company description
Louis Hachette Group S.A. engages in the publishing and travel retail and media businesses. It publishes and distributes books, including general literature, textbooks, children and young adult books, comics and manga, tourism, fine art, and dictionaries; offers a range of convenience and specialty items, fashion gallery, cosmetics, alcohol, tobacco, and fragrances through retail stores; and operates full-service bars and restaurants, and souvenir stores, as well as coffee/tea shops and fast-food options. The company also offers magazine publishing; advertising; and digital audio content services; and Prismashop, a magazine e-commerce site. In addition, it publishes newspaper under the Le Journal du Dimanche, Le JDNews, Elle, and Le JDMag names through print and digital channels; and operates radio stations under the Europe 1, Europe 2, and RFM names. Further, the company manages concert and entertainment venues; produces live shows and concerts; hosts WTA 125, a one-week international women tournament; operates sports club; and provides hosting and local promotional services for French and international productions. The company has operations in France, rest of European Union, the United States, the United Kingdom, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and other European countries. The company was founded in 1826 and is based in Paris, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Louis Hachette Group reported revenue of €9.6B in FY2025 versus €5.4B in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was €22.0M in FY2025.
ALHG screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $206.25 | $95.30 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $33.70 | $32.49 | -4% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$133.87 | C$70.40 | -47% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.61 | $28.59 | +4% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $80.49 | $69.67 | -13% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$156.43 | C$49.14 | -69% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.79 | A$12.28 | -35% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $87.76 | $33.62 | -62% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €62.56 | €103.99 | +66% |
| Aramark ARMK | $56.74 | $13.73 | -76% |
Compare Louis Hachette Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Louis Hachette Group (ALHG) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ALHG?
What is the quality score of ALHG?
What is the revenue of Louis Hachette Group (ALHG)?
What is the net profit margin of ALHG?
Does Louis Hachette Group pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Louis Hachette Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.